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Al Thaid vs Dubai City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

Division 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
El Ouardy A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2025/2026 game between Al Thaid and Dubai City finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Thaid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Al Thaid
15%
Draws
21%
Dubai City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Thaid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Thaid come out ahead of Dubai City on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Thaid a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Thaid have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Thaid Clean Sheet 16%
Dubai City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Thaid Dubai City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 9 4
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 1.48 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Division 1
Al Thaid vs Dubai City
5:1
Apr 18, 2026 Division 1
Al Thaid vs Dubai City
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Division 1
Dubai City vs Al Thaid
0:1
Apr 5, 2024 Division 1
Al Thaid vs Dubai City
2:1
Sep 30, 2023 Division 1
Dubai City vs Al Thaid
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Thaid Compare

Top Goalscorer El Ouardy A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Dubai City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Thaid 84 / 100
Dubai City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Thaid Dubai City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Thaid Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Thaid scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Dubai City conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Al Thaid has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Thaid VS Dubai City
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Thaid

(Home)
28 Sept
Al Arabi (UAE)
2 : 0
Al Thaid
22 Sept
Al Hamriyah
1 : 2
Al Thaid
11 Sept
Al Thaid
2 : 0
Dibba Al Fujairah
04 Sept
Gulf United
2 : 3
Al Thaid
28 Aug
Al Thaid
5 : 1
Dubai City
Page 1 of 6

Dubai City

(Away)
22 Sept
Al Urooba
1 : 0
Dubai City
18 Sept
Dubai City
2 : 3
Al Arabi (UAE)
11 Sept
Al Jazira Hamra
2 : 2
Dubai City
05 Sept
Dubai City
2 : 0
Al Ittifaq
28 Aug
Al Thaid
5 : 1
Dubai City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hatta 28 18 5 5 57:25 59
2 United FC 28 17 7 4 45:28 58
3 Al Urooba 28 17 6 5 38:17 57
4 Dibba Al Hisn 28 17 5 6 58:25 56
5 Al Arabi (UAE) 28 15 5 8 44:34 50
6 Al Thaid 28 13 9 6 37:30 48
7 Emirates Club 28 12 6 10 38:39 42
8 Al Fujairah 28 10 9 9 46:47 39
9 Al Hamriyah 28 10 8 10 45:34 38
10 Gulf United 28 7 4 17 39:52 25
11 Al Jazira Hamra 28 6 6 16 35:51 24
12 Al Ittifaq 28 7 3 18 37:57 24
13 Dubai City 28 6 5 17 29:55 23
14 Majd FC 28 5 6 17 30:56 21
15 Masfut 28 5 6 17 30:58 21
Promotion - UAE League (Main)