Sport Picks

Libya

Premier League 2024/2025

Al Bashaer

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Tirsana play Al Bashaer in the Premier League 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Tirsana averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. Al Bashaer averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Al Tirsana won 1, Al Bashaer won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 2, 2025 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Al Tirsana and 1.69 for Al Bashaer. This points to a Al Tirsana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Al Tirsana

35%

Draws

30%

Al Bashaer

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Tirsana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Al Tirsana picked up more points recently compared to Al Bashaer.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Al Tirsana Clean Sheet 13%

Al Bashaer Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al Tirsana	Al Bashaer
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	7	7
Draws	12	10
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	1.26	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.42	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2025 Premier League

Al Tirsana vs Al Bashaer

Possession: 54% - 44% Cards: 4 - 1

4:3

May 11, 2025 Premier League

Al Bashaer vs Al Tirsana

Possession: 59% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

2:2

Apr 10, 2025 Premier League

Al Tirsana vs Al Bashaer

Possession: 59% - 51% Cards: 1 - 0

2:2

Jan 25, 2025 Premier League

Al Bashaer vs Al Tirsana

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Tirsana Compare

Top Goalscorer Talha A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Fayeq Y.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Bashaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Dadzie G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kabouka N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Tirsana 34 / 100

Al Bashaer 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al Tirsana Al Bashaer

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Tirsana or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Tirsana attacking → ← attacking Al Bashaer

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Tirsana scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Al Bashaer let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Al Tirsana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Bashaer lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 31

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Nasr	16	9	5	2	20:9	32
2	Al Akhdar	16	9	4	3	25:11	31
3	Al Tahaddi	16	6	7	3	20:14	25
4	Khaleej Sirte	16	5	5	6	17:19	19
5	Al-Suqoor	16	5	4	7	16:20	19
6	Al-Anwar	16	5	4	7	18:26	19
7	Al Borouq	16	3	9	4	14:15	18
8	Al Ansar	16	4	2	10	15:26	14
9	Wefaq Ajdabiya	16	4	4	8	9:14	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Ahly Benghazi	14	11	1	2	31:6	34
2	Al Hilal Benghazi	14	11	1	2	30:12	34
3	Al Sadaqa	14	7	3	4	16:13	24
4	Al Taawun	14	6	4	4	19:14	22
5	Al-Andalus	14	5	3	6	17:18	18
6	Al Murooj SC	14	3	3	8	14:25	12
7	Al Branes	14	2	2	10	11:28	8
8	Al Mahdia	14	1	3	10	8:30	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Asswehly	16	12	4	0	36:12	40
2	Olympic Azzaweya	16	11	4	1	28:13	37
3	Al-Ittihad	16	8	4	4	24:10	28
4	Al-Majd	16	6	3	7	25:29	21
5	Shabab Al-Ghar	16	4	8	4	18:18	20
6	Abu Salim	16	6	2	8	20:24	20
7	Al Bashaer	16	4	5	7	19:21	17
8	Al Tirsana	16	3	6	7	22:22	15
9	Al Nahda	16	0	0	16	5:48	-3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Ahly Tripoli	16	13	3	0	38:4	42
2	Al Madina	16	10	4	2	27:14	34
3	Al Ittihad Misurata	16	6	5	5	14:14	23
4	Al Watan	16	5	5	6	19:22	19
5	Al Malaab El Libby	16	3	9	4	13:15	18
6	Al-Khmes	16	5	1	10	11:20	16
7	Abi Al Ashar	16	3	6	7	10:18	15
8	Al Dahra	16	3	6	7	11:22	15
9	Asaria	16	3	3	10	13:27	12