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Al Tirsana vs Al Shomooa

Libya Libya

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Tirsana in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Tirsana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Tirsana
20%
Draws
47%
Al Shomooa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Shomooa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Tirsana have won more games recently than Al Shomooa.
  • Win probability leans Al Shomooa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Al Tirsana Clean Sheet 16%
Al Shomooa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Tirsana Al Shomooa
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 7 6
Draws 12 4
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.27 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Tirsana vs Al Shomooa
3:1
Jan 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Shomooa vs Al Tirsana
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Tirsana 10 / 100
Al Shomooa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Tirsana Al Shomooa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shomooa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Shomooa conceded in 69% of 16 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Al Tirsana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Tirsana found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Al Tirsana VS Al Shomooa
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Tirsana

(Home)
20 Apr
Shabab Al Ghar
3 : 3
Al Tirsana
15 Apr
Al Tirsana
0 : 2
Al Ittihad
10 Apr
Olympic Azzaweya
3 : 0
Al Tirsana
16 Mar
Al Tirsana
3 : 1
Al Shomooa
12 Mar
Abi Al Ashar
1 : 2
Al Tirsana
Page 1 of 6

Al Shomooa

(Away)
25 Apr
Abi Al Ashar
0 : 8
Al Shomooa
20 Apr
Al Shomooa
2 : 0
Al Majd
15 Apr
Ittihad Gharyan
1 : 1
Al Shomooa
11 Apr
Al Shomooa
1 : 0
Al Ittihad Misurata
16 Mar
Al Tirsana
3 : 1
Al Shomooa
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 15 2 1 47:9 47
2 Asswehly 18 13 4 1 35:9 43
3 Al Madina 18 8 4 6 23:22 28
4 Al Watan 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
5 Assabah 18 6 4 8 12:18 22
6 Al Malaab El Libby 18 5 5 8 15:21 20
7 Al Khmes 18 5 5 8 19:31 20
8 Al Qadisiyah 18 6 2 10 11:24 19
9 Al Dahra 18 3 5 10 20:27 14
10 Abu Salim 18 3 4 11 13:30 13
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad 16 13 3 0 35:9 42
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 7 6 3 21:11 27
4 Al Majd 16 6 5 5 14:13 23
5 Al Shomooa 16 6 4 6 24:19 22
6 Shabab Al Ghar 16 4 6 6 17:27 18
7 Al Tirsana 16 3 7 6 15:23 16
8 Ittihad Gharyan 16 2 4 10 10:25 10
9 Abi Al Ashar 16 1 3 12 9:32 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Military Union 16 10 5 1 26:9 35
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 16 10 4 2 20:11 34
3 Al Ahly Benghazi 16 9 6 1 23:6 33
4 Al Taawun 16 7 5 4 19:14 26
5 Darnes 16 5 5 6 16:16 20
6 Al Sadaqa 16 5 4 7 16:17 19
7 Al Anwar 16 1 8 7 12:23 11
8 Al Borouq 16 2 4 10 7:21 10
9 Al Suqoor 16 1 3 12 13:35 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
2 Al Akhdar 14 8 4 2 16:9 28
3 Al Afreeki 14 7 2 5 29:18 23
4 Al Tahaddi 14 5 6 3 21:14 21
5 Khaleej Sirte 14 5 4 5 25:22 19
6 Wefaq Ajdabiya 14 5 3 6 13:17 18
7 Al Murooj SC 14 4 1 9 16:24 13
8 Al Andalus 14 0 0 14 1:38 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)