Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Tirsana vs Shabab Al-Ghar

Libya Libya

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shabab Al-Ghar in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shabab Al-Ghar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Al Tirsana
17%
Draws
13%
Shabab Al-Ghar
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al Tirsana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Tirsana average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Shabab Al-Ghar's 0.88.
  • Model gives Al Tirsana a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Al Tirsana Clean Sheet 20%
Shabab Al-Ghar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Tirsana Shabab Al-Ghar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 12 13
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Premier League
Shabab Al-Ghar vs Al Tirsana
3:3
Feb 3, 2026 Premier League
Al Tirsana vs Shabab Al-Ghar
1:2
Feb 5, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Al-Ghar vs Al Tirsana
0:0
Dec 11, 2024 Premier League
Al Tirsana vs Shabab Al-Ghar
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Tirsana 67 / 100
Shabab Al-Ghar 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Tirsana Shabab Al-Ghar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Shabab Al-Ghar let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Al Tirsana stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Shabab Al-Ghar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Tirsana VS Shabab Al-Ghar
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Tirsana

(Home)
20 Apr
Shabab Al-Ghar
3 : 3
Al Tirsana
15 Apr
Al Tirsana
0 : 2
Al-Ittihad
10 Apr
Olympic Azzaweya
3 : 0
Al Tirsana
16 Mar
Al Tirsana
3 : 1
Al Shomooa
12 Mar
Abi Al Ashar
1 : 2
Al Tirsana
Page 1 of 6

Shabab Al-Ghar

(Away)
25 Apr
Al Ittihad Misurata
2 : 0
Shabab Al-Ghar
20 Apr
Shabab Al-Ghar
3 : 3
Al Tirsana
11 Apr
Al-Ittihad
4 : 1
Shabab Al-Ghar
17 Mar
Shabab Al-Ghar
0 : 0
Olympic Azzaweya
11 Mar
Al Shomooa
3 : 1
Shabab Al-Ghar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahly Tripoli18152147:947
2Asswehly18134135:943
3Al Madina1884623:2228
4Al Watan1865714:1823
5Assabah1864812:1822
6Al Malaab El Libby1855815:2120
7Al-Khmes1855819:3120
8Al Qadisiyah18621011:2419
9Al Dahra18351020:2714
10Abu Salim18341113:3013
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad16133035:942
2Olympic Azzaweya1694325:1131
3Al Ittihad Misurata1676321:1127
4Al-Majd1665514:1323
5Al Shomooa1664624:1922
6Shabab Al-Ghar1646617:2718
7Al Tirsana1637615:2316
8Ittihad Gharyan16241010:2510
9Abi Al Ashar1613129:326
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Military Union16105126:935
2Al Hilal Benghazi16104220:1134
3Al Ahly Benghazi1696123:633
4Al Taawun1675419:1426
5Darnes1655616:1620
6Al Sadaqa1654716:1719
7Al-Anwar1618712:2311
8Al Borouq1624107:2110
9Al-Suqoor16131213:356
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nasr14112128:735
2Al Akhdar1484216:928
3Al-Afreeki1472529:1823
4Al Tahaddi1456321:1421
5Khaleej Sirte1454525:2219
6Wefaq Ajdabiya1453613:1718
7Al Murooj SC1441916:2413
8Al-Andalus1400141:380
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)