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Stadium Background

Al Ula vs Al Jeel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Medina
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Ula host Al Jeel in the Division 1. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Al Jeel have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Al Ula have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.85. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.25) point toward Al Ula. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Al Ula
20%
Draws
9%
Al Jeel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Al Jeel haven't matched Al Ula's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al Ula's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Ula Clean Sheet 19%
Al Jeel Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ula Al Jeel
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 21 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.85 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ula 85 / 100
Al Jeel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ula Al Jeel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ula Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Ula scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.

Al Ula went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Al Jeel has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Al Jeel registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ula VS Al Jeel
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 29%
75% Over 2.5 14%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ula

(Home)
14 Sept
Al Ula
3 : 0
Jeddah Club
08 Sept
Damac
0 : 1
Al Ula
02 Sept
Al Ula
2 : 0
Al Raed
28 Aug
Al Anwar
0 : 1
Al Ula
23 Aug
Al Ula
3 : 1
Al Jabalain
Page 1 of 7

Al Jeel

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Jeel
0 : 0
Hajer
15 Sept
Al Orubah
1 : 0
Al Jeel
09 Sept
Al Raed
3 : 0
Al Jeel
01 Sept
Al Jeel
0 : 0
Jeddah Club
27 Aug
Al Jabalain
1 : 0
Al Jeel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ula 5 5 0 0 10:1 15
2 Al Zulfi 6 2 4 0 7:1 10
3 Al Taee 6 3 1 2 9:9 10
4 Al Anwar 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
5 Damac 6 2 3 1 7:6 9
6 Al Jabalain 6 2 3 1 4:4 9
7 Al Wehda 6 1 5 0 9:7 8
8 Al Adalah 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
9 Jeddah Club 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Al Saqer 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
11 Al Najma 6 1 4 1 7:7 7
12 Al Orubah 6 1 4 1 4:4 7
13 Al Raed 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
14 Al Okhdood 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
15 Hajer 6 1 3 2 4:7 6
16 Al Jandal 6 1 2 3 9:9 5
17 Al Bukiryah 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
18 Al Jeel 6 0 2 4 0:7 2
Promotion - Saudi Professional League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)