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Al Ula vs Al Orubah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 2025/2026 Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Medina
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Michael
Assist: Koulouris E.
40'
Hendi A.
41'
Al Rashidi F.

AI Match Summary

Al Ula in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Al Ula
35%
Draws
21%
Al Orubah
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Ula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ula have won more games recently than Al Orubah.
  • Win probability leans Al Ula's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Division 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Ula have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Al Ula Clean Sheet 68%
Al Orubah Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ula Al Orubah
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 20 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.81 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Division 1
Al Ula vs Al Orubah
2:1
Mar 3, 2026 Division 1
Al Ula vs Al Orubah
3:1
Nov 8, 2025 Division 1
Al Orubah vs Al Ula
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ula Compare

Top Goalscorer Michael
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guanca C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Al Orubah Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ula 86 / 100
Al Orubah 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ula Al Orubah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ula Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Ula scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Al Ula stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Al Orubah let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Al Ula VS Al Orubah
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ula

(Home)
14 Sept
Al Ula
3 : 0
Jeddah Club
08 Sept
Damac
0 : 1
Al Ula
02 Sept
Al Ula
2 : 0
Al Raed
28 Aug
Al Anwar
0 : 1
Al Ula
23 Aug
Al Ula
3 : 1
Al Jabalain
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Al Orubah

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Jabalain
0 : 0
Al Orubah
15 Sept
Al Orubah
1 : 0
Al Jeel
09 Sept
Jeddah Club
2 : 2
Al Orubah
01 Sept
Al Orubah
1 : 1
Al Zulfi
28 Aug
Damac
0 : 0
Al Orubah
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abha 34 24 5 5 64:35 77
2 Al Faisaly 34 21 10 3 76:32 73
3 Al Diriyah 34 22 6 6 79:39 72
4 Al Ula 34 21 8 5 72:33 71
5 Al Orubah 34 20 5 9 56:38 65
6 Al Jabalain 34 17 8 9 59:38 59
7 Al Raed 34 14 10 10 64:46 52
8 Al Zulfi 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
9 Al Taee 34 12 8 14 48:52 44
10 Al Wehda 34 12 7 15 52:58 43
11 Al Bukiryah 34 12 7 15 36:48 43
12 Al Anwar 34 10 11 13 53:54 41
13 Jeddah Club 34 9 12 13 34:51 39
14 Al Adalah 34 8 9 17 44:70 33
15 Al Jandal 34 8 8 18 34:60 32
16 Al Batin 34 5 7 22 39:69 22
17 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 34 5 6 23 24:67 21
18 Al Jubail 34 3 5 26 28:73 14
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)