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Stadium Background

Al Ula vs Al Orubah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Medina
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Ula host Al Orubah in the Division 1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Al Orubah have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Al Ula have conceded 1 and scored 1.87. Past meetings favor Al Ula slightly — 3-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 18, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 0.50, favoring Al Ula. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Al Ula
35%
Draws
23%
Al Orubah
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Ula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ula come out ahead of Al Orubah on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Ula's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Ula have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al Ula Clean Sheet 20%
Al Orubah Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ula Al Orubah
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 19 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.87 1.39
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Division 1
Al Ula vs Al Orubah
2:1
Mar 3, 2026 Division 1
Al Ula vs Al Orubah
3:1
Nov 8, 2025 Division 1
Al Orubah vs Al Ula
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ula 85 / 100
Al Orubah 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ula Al Orubah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ula Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ula found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Al Ula has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Orubah let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Al Ula VS Al Orubah
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ula

(Home)
19 Oct
Al Zulfi
1 : 1
Al Ula
08 Oct
Al Okhdood
1 : 5
Al Ula
14 Sept
Al Ula
3 : 0
Jeddah Club
08 Sept
Damac
0 : 1
Al Ula
02 Sept
Al Ula
2 : 0
Al Raed
Page 1 of 7

Al Orubah

(Away)
20 Oct
Al Orubah
1 : 1
Al Bukiryah
20 Sept
Al Jabalain
0 : 0
Al Orubah
15 Sept
Al Orubah
1 : 0
Al Jeel
09 Sept
Jeddah Club
2 : 2
Al Orubah
01 Sept
Al Orubah
1 : 1
Al Zulfi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ula 7 6 1 0 16:3 19
2 Al Zulfi 8 3 5 0 10:2 14
3 Al Najma 8 3 4 1 14:9 13
4 Al Adalah 8 3 3 2 13:11 12
5 Al Jabalain 7 3 3 1 7:5 12
6 Damac 8 3 3 2 11:10 12
7 Al Wehda 7 2 5 0 15:8 11
8 Al Anwar 7 2 4 1 6:4 10
9 Al Saqer 8 2 4 2 7:6 10
10 Al Raed 8 3 1 4 8:12 10
11 Al Taee 8 3 1 4 11:19 10
12 Al Orubah 7 1 5 1 5:5 8
13 Jeddah Club 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
14 Al Okhdood 8 1 4 3 10:16 7
15 Al Jandal 7 1 3 3 10:10 6
16 Hajer 7 1 3 3 6:11 6
17 Al Bukiryah 8 0 3 5 5:14 3
18 Al Jeel 6 0 2 4 0:7 2
Promotion - Saudi Professional League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)