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Al-Waab vs Al Markhiya

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Njie Y.
44' Event
Tarkhan M.
73' Event
Lucao

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Al Markhiya advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al-Waab
40%
Draws
29%
Al Markhiya
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Markhiya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Al Markhiya arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Markhiya, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Al-Waab Clean Sheet 20%
Al Markhiya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Waab Al Markhiya
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 QSL 2
Al-Waab vs Al Markhiya
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 QSL Cup
Al-Waab vs Al Markhiya
1:3
Nov 4, 2025 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Al-Waab
3:3
Apr 9, 2025 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Al-Waab
0:2
Dec 5, 2024 QSL 2
Al-Waab vs Al Markhiya
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Waab Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Al Markhiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Njie Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tarkhan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Waab 32 / 100
Al Markhiya 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Waab Al Markhiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Waab's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Al Markhiya let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Al-Waab has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al-Waab VS Al Markhiya
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Waab

(Home)
30 Apr
Al-Kharitiyath
0 : 1
Al-Waab
25 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
3 : 0
Al-Waab
12 Apr
Al-Waab
1 : 1
Al Markhiya
05 Apr
Al Bidda
0 : 2
Al-Waab
25 Mar
Al Arabi (Qatar)
3 : 1
Al-Waab
Page 1 of 6

Al Markhiya

(Away)
30 Apr
Al Khor
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
25 Apr
Al Markhiya
0 : 2
Lusail
12 Apr
Al-Waab
1 : 1
Al Markhiya
05 Apr
Al Markhiya
3 : 4
Muaither SC
25 Mar
Muaither SC
3 : 2
Al Markhiya
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Rayyan1081132:1725
2Umm-Salal1062226:1720
3Muaither SC1062221:1320
4Al Arabi (Qatar)1061327:1619
5Al-Waab1053216:1118
6Al Markhiya1053213:1218
7Al Sailiya1060416:1718
8Al-Shahaniya1052313:1117
9Shamal1043319:1115
10Al Bidda1043315:1415
11Al Khor1041518:1713
12Al Mesaimeer1034318:1713
13Qatar SC1041523:2313
14Al-Kharitiyath1041519:2013
15Al Ahli1023513:219
16Al-Duhail102354:179
17Lusail1014515:267
18Al Wakra1013617:226
19Al-Gharafa1012712:225
20Al-Sadd1012718:315
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)