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Al Waab vs Al Mesaimeer - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup 2025/2026 Al Shamal Sports Club, Madinat ash Shamal
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Tombari M.
32' Event
Fowadah A.
70' Event
Faisal B.

AI Match Summary

Al Waab in this QSL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Al Waab
30%
Draws
19%
Al Mesaimeer
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Waab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Waab lately — more wins on the board than Al Mesaimeer.
  • Model gives Al Waab a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Al Waab have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Mesaimeer, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Al Waab Clean Sheet 20%
Al Mesaimeer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Waab Al Mesaimeer
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.42 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Mesaimeer vs Al Waab
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Al Waab
3:0
Jan 26, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Waab vs Al Mesaimeer
3:1
Dec 21, 2025 QSL 2
Al Waab vs Al Mesaimeer
2:4
Sep 1, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Waab vs Al Mesaimeer
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Waab Compare

Top Goalscorer Tombari M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fowadah A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Mesaimeer Compare

Top Goalscorer Djenidi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Waab 85 / 100
Al Mesaimeer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Waab Al Mesaimeer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Waab Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Waab's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Al Mesaimeer conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Al Waab went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Waab VS Al Mesaimeer
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Waab

(Home)
29 Sept
Al Waab
1 : 1
Lusail
22 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
0 : 1
Al Waab
06 Sept
Al Waab
1 : 1
Qatar U23
31 Aug
Shamal 2
0 : 2
Al Waab
25 Aug
Al Waab
1 : 0
Al Rayyan 2
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Al Mesaimeer

(Away)
01 Oct
Al Gharafa
4 : 2
Al Mesaimeer
22 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
0 : 1
Al Waab
08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1
Al Kharitiyath
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2
Umm-Salal
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0
Muaither SC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Rayyan -
TBD -
Al Shahaniya 1
Shamal 0
Umm-Salal -
TBD -
Al Sailiya 1
Al Bidda 3
Muaither SC 2
Al Kharitiyath 0
Al Markhiya 2
Al Khor 1
Al Arabi (Qatar) 3
Qatar SC 2
Al Waab 3
Al Mesaimeer 1
Quarter-finals
Al Rayyan 3
Al Shahaniya 0
Umm-Salal 2
Al Bidda 0
Muaither SC 3
Al Markhiya 2
Al Arabi (Qatar) 3
Al Waab 1
Semi-finals
Al Rayyan 4
Umm-Salal 3
Muaither SC 4
Al Arabi (Qatar) 3
Final
Al Rayyan 2
Muaither SC 0