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Al-Waab vs Lusail

Qatar Qatar

Emir Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Gueye O.
55'
73' Event
Faisal B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al-Waab
20%
Draws
34%
Lusail
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Waab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Medium Confidence
  • Lusail have won more games recently than Al-Waab.
  • Model gives Al-Waab a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Lusail arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lusail, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Al-Waab Clean Sheet 20%
Lusail Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Waab Lusail
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2026 QSL 2
Lusail vs Al-Waab
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 Emir Cup
Al-Waab vs Lusail
2:0
Aug 19, 2025 QSL 2
Al-Waab vs Lusail
0:2
Apr 21, 2025 Emir Cup
Al-Waab vs Lusail
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 QSL 2
Al-Waab vs Lusail
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Waab Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueye O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Faisal B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Lusail Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Waab 42 / 100
Lusail 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Waab Lusail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Waab scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Lusail's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al-Waab remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Waab VS Lusail
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Waab

(Home)
30 Jul
Kazma SC
2 : 2
Al-Waab
30 Apr
Al-Kharitiyath
0 : 1
Al-Waab
25 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
3 : 0
Al-Waab
12 Apr
Al-Waab
1 : 1
Al Markhiya
05 Apr
Al Bidda
0 : 2
Al-Waab
Page 1 of 7

Lusail

(Away)
24 Jul
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Lusail
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0
Lusail
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2
Al Bidda
25 Apr
Al Markhiya
0 : 2
Lusail
12 Apr
Lusail
3 : 0
Al Mesaimeer
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Shamal -
TBD -
Qatar SC -
TBD -
Al-Sadd -
TBD -
Al Markhiya 2
Al Mesaimeer 1
Al-Duhail -
TBD -
Al-Waab 2
Lusail 0
Al-Shahaniya -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Arabi (Qatar) -
Al-Gharafa -
TBD -
Al-Kharitiyath 2
Al Bidda 1
Al Ahli -
TBD -
TBD -
Umm-Salal -
Al Rayyan -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Khor -
Al Wakra -
TBD -
Al Sailiya 2
Muaither SC 1
1/8-finals
Shamal 2
Qatar SC 1
Al-Sadd 2
Al Markhiya 1
Al-Duhail 2
Al-Waab 0
Al-Shahaniya 0
Al Arabi (Qatar) 2
Al-Gharafa 2
Al-Kharitiyath 0
Al Ahli 2
Umm-Salal 4
Al Rayyan 2
Al Khor 0
Al Wakra 2
Al Sailiya 0
Quarter-finals
Shamal 4
Al-Sadd 6
Al-Duhail 4
Al Arabi (Qatar) 0
Al-Gharafa 2
Umm-Salal 1
Al Rayyan 0
Al Wakra 3
Semi-finals
Al-Sadd 4
Al-Duhail 1
Al-Gharafa 1
Al Wakra 0
Final
Al-Sadd 1
Al-Gharafa 4