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Al Waab vs Umm-Salal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Waab host Umm-Salal in the QSL 2. Al Waab are expected to control this from the start. Umm-Salal have shipped 2.23 goals a game lately, while Al Waab have conceded 1.35 and scored 1.42. Head-to-head, Al Waab have won 0 to Umm-Salal's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 29, 2025, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Al Waab. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Al Waab
30%
Draws
33%
Umm-Salal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Waab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Waab come out ahead of Umm-Salal on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Waab's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular QSL 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Al Waab Clean Sheet 20%
Umm-Salal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Waab Umm-Salal
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.42 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Waab vs Umm-Salal
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Waab 58 / 100
Umm-Salal 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Waab Umm-Salal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Waab Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Waab scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Umm-Salal conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Al Waab stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Waab VS Umm-Salal
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Waab

(Home)
29 Sept
Al Waab
1 : 1
Lusail
22 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
0 : 1
Al Waab
06 Sept
Al Waab
1 : 1
Qatar U23
31 Aug
Shamal 2
0 : 2
Al Waab
25 Aug
Al Waab
1 : 0
Al Rayyan 2
Page 1 of 7

Umm-Salal

(Away)
29 Sept
Al Khor
0 : 2
Umm-Salal
21 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 0
Al Kharitiyath
07 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 5
Al Khor
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2
Umm-Salal
25 Aug
Umm-Salal
1 : 1
Qatar U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Markhiya 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Al Bidda 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Al Waab 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 Muaither SC 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
5 Al Kharitiyath 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
6 Al Mesaimeer 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
7 Umm-Salal 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
8 Al Khor 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
9 Qatar U23 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
10 Al Gharafa 2 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
11 Shamal 2 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
12 Al Rayyan 2 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - QSL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - QSL (Relegation)