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Al Wahda vs Ajman

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League Al Nahyan Stadium, Abu Dhabi
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Lourency
Assist: Jabri Y.
19'
Burghash M.
24'
Henrique V.

AI Match Summary

The UAE League game between Al Wahda and Ajman finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ajman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Al Wahda
15%
Draws
36%
Ajman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Wahda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Wahda haven't matched Ajman's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Al Wahda a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular UAE League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al Wahda Clean Sheet 14%
Ajman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wahda Ajman
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 UAE League
Al Wahda vs Ajman
2:3
Feb 25, 2026 UAE League
Al Wahda vs Ajman
2:0
Sep 6, 2025 League Cup
Ajman vs Al Wahda
2:4
Aug 31, 2025 League Cup
Al Wahda vs Ajman
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 UAE League
Ajman vs Al Wahda
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Wahda Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghorbani M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diarra B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ajman Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lourency
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wahda 57 / 100
Ajman 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wahda Ajman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Wahda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ajman conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Al Wahda scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Al Wahda went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Wahda VS Ajman
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Wahda

(Home)
20 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 0
Al Wahda
16 Sept
Al Wahda
3 : 2
Al Kuwait
11 Sept
Al Wahda
1 : 0
Al Sharjah
06 Sept
Al Dhafra
0 : 1
Al Wahda
30 Aug
Al Wahda
2 : 1
Bani Yas
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Ajman

(Away)
19 Sept
Ajman
3 : 2
Al Sharjah
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3
Ittihad Kalba
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2
Ajman
29 Aug
Al Jazira
3 : 0
Ajman
22 Aug
Ajman
4 : 3
Hatta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jazira 5 4 1 0 11:2 13
2 Al Ain 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
3 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
4 Al Wasl 5 3 1 1 15:6 10
5 Ajman 5 3 0 2 11:12 9
6 Al Wahda 5 3 0 2 6:5 9
7 Al Sharjah 5 3 0 2 10:7 9
8 United FC 5 2 1 2 12:13 7
9 Al Nasr 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
10 Ittihad Kalba 5 1 1 3 6:13 4
11 Khorfakkan 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
12 Al Dhafra 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
13 Hatta 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
14 Bani Yas 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)