Sport Picks
Al Wahda vs Al Ittihad
Asia
AFC Champions League 2025/2026 Al Nahyan Stadium, Abu Dhabi 
Match Events
21'
21'
Bergwijn S.
Assist: Fabinho
37'
37'
Al Shanqiti M.
46'
46'
Sub
Al Shehri S. In: Simic J.
Out: Al Shehri S.
AI Match Summary
The AFC Champions League 2025/2026 game between Al Wahda and Al Ittihad finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Wahda.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Wahda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Al Ittihad come out ahead of Al Wahda on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Al Wahda Clean Sheet 16%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Wahda | Al Ittihad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 14, 2026 AFC Champions League
Al Ittihad vs Al Wahda
1:0
Mar 10, 2026 AFC Champions League
Al Wahda vs Al Ittihad
0:0
Sep 15, 2025 AFC Champions League
Al Wahda vs Al Ittihad
2:1
May 21, 2019 AFC Champions League
Al Ittihad vs Al Wahda
1:1
Mar 11, 2019 AFC Champions League
Al Wahda vs Al Ittihad
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Wahda Compare
Top Goalscorer Caio Canedo
1 Goals Assists Leader Pimenta Peres Lopes L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Al Ittihad Compare
Top Goalscorer Bergwijn S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Wahda 31 / 100
Al Ittihad 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Wahda Al Ittihad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Wahda's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Al Ittihad let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Recent resilience: Al Wahda stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Wahda VS Al Ittihad
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Wahda
(Home) 20 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 0 Al Wahda
16 Sept
Al Wahda
3 : 2 Al Kuwait
11 Sept
Al Wahda
1 : 0 Al Sharjah
06 Sept
Al Dhafra
0 : 1 Al Wahda
30 Aug
Al Wahda
2 : 1 Bani Yas
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16 Sept
Al Wahda
3 : 2 Al Kuwait
11 Sept
Al Wahda
1 : 0 Al Sharjah
30 Aug
Al Wahda
2 : 1 Bani Yas
14 Aug
Al Wahda
2 : 3 Ajman
06 May
Al Wahda
2 : 3 Al Wasl
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Al Ittihad
(Away) 14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1 Al Ittihad
11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3 Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Fayha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Nassr
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0 Al Ittihad
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14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1 Al Ittihad
11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3 Al Ittihad
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0 Al Ittihad
21 Aug
Al Qadsiah
0 : 1 Al Ittihad
18 Aug
Al Najma
0 : 3 Al Ittihad
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Buriram United F.C. | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Johor DT | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Seoul | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Gangwon | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 9 | Ulsan Hyundai | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2:11 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 17 |
| 3 | Tractor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | 17 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Wahda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:14 | 11 |
| 7 | Al-Duhail | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 8 |
| 8 | Al-Sadd | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 9 | Al Sharjah | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:16 | 8 |
| 10 | Al-Gharafa | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:21 | 6 |
| 11 | Al Shorta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | 5 |
| 12 | Nasaf Qarshi | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:17 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
