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Al Wahda vs Horriya

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Horriya in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Horriya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Al Wahda
30%
Draws
19%
Horriya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Wahda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Wahda lately — more wins on the board than Horriya.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Al Wahda taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Wahda have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Al Wahda Clean Sheet 20%
Horriya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wahda Horriya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.77 1
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Premier League
Al Wahda vs Horriya
0:2
Feb 3, 2026 Premier League
Horriya vs Al Wahda
1:2
Apr 20, 2024 Premier League
Al Wahda vs Horriya
2:0
Dec 25, 2023 Premier League
Al Wahda vs Horriya
2:1
Jun 9, 2023 Syria Cup
Al Wahda vs Horriya
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wahda 58 / 100
Horriya 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wahda Horriya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Wahda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Wahda's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Al Wahda stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Horriya has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Wahda VS Horriya
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Wahda

(Home)
03 Jul
Al-Shouleh
0 : 2
Al Wahda
27 Jun
Al Wahda
1 : 0
Tishreen
24 Jun
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Wahda
19 Jun
Al Wahda
1 : 1
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
14 Jun
Al Taliya
0 : 1
Al Wahda
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Horriya

(Away)
04 Jul
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Horriya
28 Jun
Horriya
0 : 1
Al Taliya
24 Jun
Tishreen
1 : 1
Horriya
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3
Damascus Al-Ahli
14 Jun
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
1 : 0
Horriya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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