Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Wakra vs Al-Gharafa

Qatar Qatar

Emir Cup Al Janoub Stadium, Al Wakrah
Tue, May 5, 2026
0 - 1
02:15 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Laidouni A.
46'
Sub
Sano S. In: Hamed J.
Out: Sano S.
51'
Madibo A. O.

AI Match Summary

Al-Gharafa in this Emir Cup tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al Wakra
39%
Draws
30%
Al-Gharafa
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Gharafa have won more games recently than Al Wakra.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Al-Gharafa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al-Gharafa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Al Wakra Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Gharafa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wakra Al-Gharafa
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Emir Cup
Al Wakra vs Al-Gharafa
0:1
Apr 8, 2026 QSL
Al Wakra vs Al-Gharafa
3:3
Dec 13, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Wakra vs Al-Gharafa
2:3
Nov 21, 2025 QSL
Al-Gharafa vs Al Wakra
1:0
Apr 11, 2025 QSL
Al Wakra vs Al-Gharafa
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wakra 32 / 100
Al-Gharafa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wakra Al-Gharafa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Gharafa has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Attacking prowess: Al Wakra scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Al Wakra has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Wakra VS Al-Gharafa
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Wakra

(Home)
28 Jul
Rouen
1 : 0
Al Wakra
25 Jul
Caen
4 : 1
Al Wakra
22 Jul
Brest
0 : 2
Al Wakra
05 May
Al Wakra
0 : 1
Al-Gharafa
01 May
Al Rayyan
0 : 3
Al Wakra
Page 1 of 6

Al-Gharafa

(Away)
27 Jul
Al Riyadh
2 : 2
Al-Gharafa
19 Jul
Samorin
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
09 May
Al-Gharafa
4 : 1
Al-Sadd
05 May
Al Wakra
0 : 1
Al-Gharafa
01 May
Al-Gharafa
2 : 1
Umm-Salal
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Shamal-
TBD-
Qatar SC-
TBD-
Al-Sadd-
TBD-
Al Markhiya2
Al Mesaimeer1
Al-Duhail-
TBD-
Al-Waab2
Lusail0
Al-Shahaniya-
TBD-
TBD-
Al Arabi (Qatar)-
Al-Gharafa-
TBD-
Al-Kharitiyath2
Al Bidda1
Al Ahli-
TBD-
TBD-
Umm-Salal-
Al Rayyan-
TBD-
TBD-
Al Khor-
Al Wakra-
TBD-
Al Sailiya2
Muaither SC1
1/8-finals
Shamal2
Qatar SC1
Al-Sadd2
Al Markhiya1
Al-Duhail2
Al-Waab0
Al-Shahaniya0
Al Arabi (Qatar)2
Al-Gharafa2
Al-Kharitiyath0
Al Ahli2
Umm-Salal4
Al Rayyan2
Al Khor0
Al Wakra2
Al Sailiya0
Quarter-finals
Shamal4
Al-Sadd6
Al-Duhail4
Al Arabi (Qatar)0
Al-Gharafa2
Umm-Salal1
Al Rayyan0
Al Wakra3
Semi-finals
Al-Sadd4
Al-Duhail1
Al-Gharafa1
Al Wakra0
Final
Al-Sadd1
Al-Gharafa4