Sport Picks
Al Wakra vs Al-Gharafa
Qatar
Emir Cup Al Janoub Stadium, Al Wakrah 
Match Events
29'
29'
Laidouni A.
46'
46'
Sub
Sano S. In: Hamed J.
Out: Sano S.
51'
51'
Madibo A. O.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Wakra
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Al-Gharafa have won more games recently than Al Wakra.
- 23% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Al-Gharafa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Al-Gharafa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Al Wakra Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Gharafa Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Wakra | Al-Gharafa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 5, 2026 Emir Cup
Al Wakra vs Al-Gharafa
0:1
Apr 8, 2026 QSL
Al Wakra vs Al-Gharafa
3:3
Dec 13, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Wakra vs Al-Gharafa
2:3
Nov 21, 2025 QSL
Al-Gharafa vs Al Wakra
1:0
Apr 11, 2025 QSL
Al Wakra vs Al-Gharafa
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Wakra 36 / 100
Al-Gharafa 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Wakra Al-Gharafa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al-Gharafa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al-Gharafa has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.
Attacking prowess: Al Wakra scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Difficult form: Al-Gharafa registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Wakra VS Al-Gharafa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Wakra
(Home) 10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1 Al Wakra
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0 Al Wakra
27 Aug
Al Wakra
1 : 2 Al Rayyan
20 Aug
Al Wakra
2 : 2 Qatar SC
31 Jul
Nantes
5 : 1 Al Wakra
Page 1 of 6
27 Aug
Al Wakra
1 : 2 Al Rayyan
20 Aug
Al Wakra
2 : 2 Qatar SC
05 May
Al Wakra
0 : 1 Al-Gharafa
27 Apr
Al Wakra
3 : 1 Al Sailiya
08 Apr
Al Wakra
3 : 3 Al-Gharafa
Page 1 of 3
Al-Gharafa
(Away) 15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1 Al-Gharafa
11 Sept
Al-Gharafa
0 : 0 Lusail
05 Sept
Al-Sadd
4 : 1 Al-Gharafa
01 Sept
Al-Sadd
2 : 1 Al-Gharafa
27 Aug
Al-Gharafa
1 : 3 Shamal
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1 Al-Gharafa
05 Sept
Al-Sadd
4 : 1 Al-Gharafa
01 Sept
Al-Sadd
2 : 1 Al-Gharafa
27 Jul
Al Riyadh
2 : 2 Al-Gharafa
19 Jul
Samorin
2 : 1 Al-Gharafa
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Shamal -
TBD -
Qatar SC -
TBD -
Al-Sadd -
TBD -
Al Markhiya 2
Al Mesaimeer 1
Al-Duhail -
TBD -
Al-Waab 2
Lusail 0
Al-Shahaniya -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Arabi (Qatar) -
Al-Gharafa -
TBD -
Al-Kharitiyath 2
Al Bidda 1
Al Ahli -
TBD -
TBD -
Umm-Salal -
Al Rayyan -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Khor -
Al Wakra -
TBD -
Al Sailiya 2
Muaither SC 1
1/8-finals
Shamal 2
Qatar SC 1
Al-Sadd 2
Al Markhiya 1
Al-Duhail 2
Al-Waab 0
Al-Shahaniya 0
Al Arabi (Qatar) 2
Al-Gharafa 2
Al-Kharitiyath 0
Al Ahli 2
Umm-Salal 4
Al Rayyan 2
Al Khor 0
Al Wakra 2
Al Sailiya 0
Quarter-finals
Shamal 4
Al-Sadd 6
Al-Duhail 4
Al Arabi (Qatar) 0
Al-Gharafa 2
Umm-Salal 1
Al Rayyan 0
Al Wakra 3
Semi-finals
Al-Sadd 4
Al-Duhail 1
Al-Gharafa 1
Al Wakra 0
Final
Al-Sadd 1
Al-Gharafa 4
