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Al Wakra vs Al Sadd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Al Janoub Stadium, Al Wakrah
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Wakra host Al Sadd in the QSL. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Al Sadd have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Al Wakra have conceded 1.62 and scored 1.62. Past meetings favor Al Sadd slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 2.00) point toward Al Sadd. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Al Wakra
20%
Draws
33%
Al Sadd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Wakra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Sadd lately — more wins on the board than Al Wakra.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Sadd have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Al Wakra Clean Sheet 10%
Al Sadd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wakra Al Sadd
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.62 2.6
Goals Conceded 1.62 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 QSL
Al Wakra vs Al Sadd
1:3
Sep 20, 2025 QSL
Al Sadd vs Al Wakra
2:2
Mar 29, 2025 QSL
Al Sadd vs Al Wakra
3:0
Oct 27, 2024 QSL
Al Wakra vs Al Sadd
0:3
May 13, 2024 Emir Cup
Al Wakra vs Al Sadd
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wakra 34 / 100
Al Sadd 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wakra Al Sadd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Sadd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Sadd conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Al Wakra found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Wakra remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Wakra VS Al Sadd
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Wakra

(Home)
31 Oct
Al Duhail
3 : 1
Al Wakra
24 Oct
Al Wakra
3 : 2
Al Arabi (Qatar)
16 Oct
Al Ahli
0 : 3
Al Wakra
08 Oct
Al Wakra
3 : 2
Al Gharafa
28 Sept
Al Kharitiyath
1 : 1
Al Wakra
Page 1 of 6

Al Sadd

(Away)
30 Oct
Al Sadd
4 : 1
Shamal
26 Oct
Al Qadsiah
1 : 1
Al Sadd
22 Oct
Al Shahaniya
0 : 4
Al Sadd
18 Oct
Al Sadd
2 : 3
Al Duhail
13 Oct
Al Sadd
0 : 2
Al Hilal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sadd 8 6 0 2 31:14 18
2 Al Rayyan 8 5 3 0 16:3 18
3 Al Duhail 8 5 3 0 18:7 18
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 8 3 4 1 16:8 13
5 Al Ahli 8 3 2 3 14:15 11
6 Al Wakra 8 3 2 3 14:16 11
7 Lusail 8 2 3 3 10:9 9
8 Al Gharafa 8 2 3 3 10:13 9
9 Shamal 8 2 3 3 13:17 9
10 Al Shahaniya 8 2 1 5 9:21 7
11 Qatar SC 8 1 3 4 9:18 6
12 Al Sailiya 8 0 1 7 9:28 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)