Sport Picks

United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Zabeel Stadium

Khorfakkan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Wasl play Khorfakkan in the UAE League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Wasl averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Khorfakkan averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Al Wasl won 1, Khorfakkan won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 28, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Al Wasl and 1.44 for Khorfakkan. This points to a Al Wasl double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Al Wasl

27%

Draws

31%

Khorfakkan

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Al Wasl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Al Wasl picked up more points recently compared to Khorfakkan.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

Al Wasl Clean Sheet 16%

Khorfakkan Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al Wasl	Khorfakkan
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	12	7
Draws	8	11
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	1.52	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.41	1.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 UAE League

Al Wasl vs Khorfakkan

Possession: 55% - 58% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Oct 31, 2025 UAE League

Khorfakkan vs Al Wasl

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Feb 26, 2025 UAE League

Khorfakkan vs Al Wasl

Possession: 48% - 41% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Oct 5, 2024 UAE League

Al Wasl vs Khorfakkan

Possession: 49% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

3:4

Mar 30, 2024 UAE League

Al Wasl vs Khorfakkan

Possession: 40% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Wasl Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Khorfakkan Compare

Top Goalscorer Tissoudali T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wasl 41 / 100

Khorfakkan 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al Wasl Khorfakkan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Wasl or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Wasl attacking → ← attacking Khorfakkan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Wasl scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Khorfakkan let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Al Wasl went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Khorfakkan lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 32

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Ain	26	21	5	0	62:18	68
2	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	26	17	7	2	60:18	58
3	Al Wasl	26	14	6	6	39:29	48
4	Al Jazira	26	13	5	8	46:30	44
5	Al Wahda	26	10	10	6	38:26	40
6	Al Nasr	26	9	11	6	36:34	38
7	Ajman	26	9	5	12	27:34	32
8	Al Sharjah	26	8	5	13	35:47	29
9	Khorfakkan	26	6	9	11	35:45	27
10	Bani Yas	26	7	6	13	29:43	27
11	Ittihad Kalba	26	5	9	12	29:45	24
12	Al Dhafra	26	6	4	16	28:52	22
13	Al Bataeh	26	4	9	13	24:37	21
14	Dibba Al Fujairah	26	5	5	16	25:55	20