Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Al-Khmes in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Khmes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Watan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al Watan lately — more wins on the board than Al-Khmes.
- Model gives Al Watan a 44% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Al Watan Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Khmes Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Watan | Al-Khmes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2026 Premier League
Al Watan vs Al-Khmes
0:1
Jan 27, 2026 Premier League
Al-Khmes vs Al Watan
1:1
Feb 7, 2025 Premier League
Al Watan vs Al-Khmes
1:0
Dec 13, 2024 Premier League
Al-Khmes vs Al Watan
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Watan 49 / 100
Al-Khmes 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Watan Al-Khmes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Watan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al-Khmes has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Al Watan's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.
Solid form: Al Watan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Al Watan VS Al-Khmes
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
25% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Watan
(Home) 23 Apr
Al Watan
4 : 3 Al Qadisiyah
18 Apr
Asswehly
0 : 1 Al Watan
13 Apr
Al Watan
0 : 1 Al-Khmes
09 Apr
Abu Salim
1 : 0 Al Watan
14 Mar
Al Watan
0 : 3 Al Ahly Tripoli
Page 1 of 6
23 Apr
Al Watan
4 : 3 Al Qadisiyah
13 Apr
Al Watan
0 : 1 Al-Khmes
14 Mar
Al Watan
0 : 3 Al Ahly Tripoli
09 Mar
Al Watan
1 : 0 Al Dahra
26 Feb
Al Watan
0 : 0 Al Malaab El Libby
Page 1 of 3
Al-Khmes
(Away) 23 Apr
Abu Salim
0 : 0 Al-Khmes
18 Apr
Al-Khmes
1 : 3 Al Ahly Tripoli
13 Apr
Al Watan
0 : 1 Al-Khmes
08 Apr
Al-Khmes
2 : 2 Assabah
16 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
2 : 0 Al-Khmes
Page 1 of 6
23 Apr
Abu Salim
0 : 0 Al-Khmes
13 Apr
Al Watan
0 : 1 Al-Khmes
16 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
2 : 0 Al-Khmes
04 Mar
Al Qadisiyah
0 : 2 Al-Khmes
02 Feb
Al Ahly Tripoli
5 : 2 Al-Khmes
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly Tripoli | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 47:9 | 47 |
| 2 | Asswehly | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 35:9 | 43 |
| 3 | Al Madina | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 23:22 | 28 |
| 4 | Al Watan | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 14:18 | 23 |
| 5 | Assabah | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 12:18 | 22 |
| 6 | Al Malaab El Libby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15:21 | 20 |
| 7 | Al-Khmes | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Al Qadisiyah | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 11:24 | 19 |
| 9 | Al Dahra | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Abu Salim | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13:30 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Ittihad | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 35:9 | 42 |
| 2 | Olympic Azzaweya | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Al Ittihad Misurata | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:11 | 27 |
| 4 | Al-Majd | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Al Shomooa | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:19 | 22 |
| 6 | Shabab Al-Ghar | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:27 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Tirsana | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15:23 | 16 |
| 8 | Ittihad Gharyan | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:25 | 10 |
| 9 | Abi Al Ashar | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9:32 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Military Union | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 26:9 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Hilal Benghazi | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 34 |
| 3 | Al Ahly Benghazi | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 23:6 | 33 |
| 4 | Al Taawun | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Darnes | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Al Sadaqa | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16:17 | 19 |
| 7 | Al-Anwar | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 8 | Al Borouq | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7:21 | 10 |
| 9 | Al-Suqoor | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13:35 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nasr | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 28:7 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Akhdar | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 16:9 | 28 |
| 3 | Al-Afreeki | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29:18 | 23 |
| 4 | Al Tahaddi | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Khaleej Sirte | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:22 | 19 |
| 6 | Wefaq Ajdabiya | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Murooj SC | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 8 | Al-Andalus | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1:38 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
