Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Watan and Al Madina finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Madina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Watan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Al Madina carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Al Madina have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Al Watan Clean Sheet 18%
Al Madina Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Watan | Al Madina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Premier League
Al Madina vs Al Watan
2:1
Dec 17, 2025 Premier League
Al Watan vs Al Madina
0:1
Mar 8, 2025 Premier League
Al Madina vs Al Watan
1:1
Jan 11, 2025 Premier League
Al Watan vs Al Madina
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Watan 31 / 100
Al Madina 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Watan Al Madina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Watan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Madina has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.
Al Madina lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Al Watan scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al Watan VS Al Madina
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Watan
(Home) 23 Apr
Al Watan
4 : 3 Al Qadisiyah
18 Apr
Asswehly
0 : 1 Al Watan
13 Apr
Al Watan
0 : 1 Al Khmes
09 Apr
Abu Salim
1 : 0 Al Watan
14 Mar
Al Watan
0 : 3 Al Ahly Tripoli
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23 Apr
Al Watan
4 : 3 Al Qadisiyah
13 Apr
Al Watan
0 : 1 Al Khmes
14 Mar
Al Watan
0 : 3 Al Ahly Tripoli
09 Mar
Al Watan
1 : 0 Al Dahra
26 Feb
Al Watan
0 : 0 Al Malaab El Libby
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Al Madina
(Away) 24 May
Al Madina
1 : 1 Al Ittihad Misurata
20 May
Al Madina
0 : 3 Asswehly
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1 Al Ahly Tripoli
10 May
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Madina
06 May
Al Madina
3 : 2 Olympic Azzaweya
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10 May
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Madina
23 Apr
Assabah
1 : 0 Al Madina
13 Apr
Al Dahra
3 : 3 Al Madina
09 Apr
Al Qadisiyah
0 : 2 Al Madina
10 Mar
Al Khmes
0 : 2 Al Madina
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly Tripoli | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 47:9 | 47 |
| 2 | Asswehly | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 35:9 | 43 |
| 3 | Al Madina | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 23:22 | 28 |
| 4 | Al Watan | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 14:18 | 23 |
| 5 | Assabah | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 12:18 | 22 |
| 6 | Al Malaab El Libby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15:21 | 20 |
| 7 | Al Khmes | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Al Qadisiyah | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 11:24 | 19 |
| 9 | Al Dahra | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Abu Salim | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13:30 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ittihad | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 35:9 | 42 |
| 2 | Olympic Azzaweya | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Al Ittihad Misurata | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:11 | 27 |
| 4 | Al Majd | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Al Shomooa | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:19 | 22 |
| 6 | Shabab Al Ghar | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:27 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Tirsana | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15:23 | 16 |
| 8 | Ittihad Gharyan | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:25 | 10 |
| 9 | Abi Al Ashar | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9:32 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Military Union | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 26:9 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Hilal Benghazi | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 34 |
| 3 | Al Ahly Benghazi | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 23:6 | 33 |
| 4 | Al Taawun | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Darnes | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Al Sadaqa | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16:17 | 19 |
| 7 | Al Anwar | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 8 | Al Borouq | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7:21 | 10 |
| 9 | Al Suqoor | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13:35 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nasr | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 28:7 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Akhdar | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 16:9 | 28 |
| 3 | Al Afreeki | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29:18 | 23 |
| 4 | Al Tahaddi | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Khaleej Sirte | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:22 | 19 |
| 6 | Wefaq Ajdabiya | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Murooj SC | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 8 | Al Andalus | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1:38 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
