Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Wehda vs Al-Faisaly

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 2025/2026 King Abdul Aziz Stadium, Mecca
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Saleem M.
23'
Al Nakhli A.
27' Event
Quioto R.
Assist: Saleem M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2025/2026 game between Al Wehda and Al-Faisaly finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al Wehda
35%
Draws
19%
Al-Faisaly
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Wehda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Faisaly come out ahead of Al Wehda on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Al Wehda taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Al Wehda Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Faisaly Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wehda Al-Faisaly
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.63 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Division 1
Al Wehda vs Al-Faisaly
2:2
Oct 4, 2025 Division 1
Al-Faisaly vs Al Wehda
2:2
Sep 22, 2024 King Cup
Al Wehda vs Al-Faisaly
2:1
Feb 12, 2021 Saudi Professional League
Al-Faisaly vs Al Wehda
2:4
Oct 30, 2020 Saudi Professional League
Al Wehda vs Al-Faisaly
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Wehda Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Taleb F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Faisaly Compare

Top Goalscorer Quioto R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morato
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wehda 85 / 100
Al-Faisaly 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wehda Al-Faisaly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Wehda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Wehda stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Al Wehda found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Al-Faisaly has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Wehda VS Al-Faisaly
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Wehda

(Home)
20 Sept
Al Jandal
2 : 2
Al Wehda
14 Sept
Al Wehda
4 : 2
Al Okhdood
07 Sept
Al Jabalain
0 : 0
Al Wehda
02 Sept
Al Wehda
2 : 2
Damac
26 Aug
Al Zulfi
0 : 0
Al Wehda
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Al-Faisaly

(Away)
11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3
Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 0
Al-Faisaly
05 Sept
Al-Faisaly
0 : 0
Al Hazem Rass
30 Aug
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1
Al-Faisaly
26 Aug
Al-Faisaly
1 : 1
Al Fateh
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abha 34 24 5 5 64:35 77
2 Al-Faisaly 34 21 10 3 76:32 73
3 Al Diriyah 34 22 6 6 79:39 72
4 Al-Ula 34 21 8 5 72:33 71
5 Al Orubah 34 20 5 9 56:38 65
6 Al Jabalain 34 17 8 9 59:38 59
7 Al Raed 34 14 10 10 64:46 52
8 Al Zulfi 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
9 Al Taee 34 12 8 14 48:52 44
10 Al Wehda 34 12 7 15 52:58 43
11 Al Bukiryah 34 12 7 15 36:48 43
12 Al Anwar 34 10 11 13 53:54 41
13 Jeddah Club 34 9 12 13 34:51 39
14 Al Adalah 34 8 9 17 44:70 33
15 Al Jandal 34 8 8 18 34:60 32
16 Al Batin 34 5 7 22 39:69 22
17 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 34 5 6 23 24:67 21
18 Al Jubail 34 3 5 26 28:73 14
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)