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Al Wehda vs Al Mahalla Tripoli

Libya Libya

Premier League 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Wehda play Al Mahalla Tripoli in the Premier League 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Wehda averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Al Mahalla Tripoli averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Al Wehda won 2, Al Mahalla Tripoli won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 27, 2021 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Al Wehda and 1.43 for Al Mahalla Tripoli. This points to a Al Wehda double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Al Wehda
28%
Draws
34%
Al Mahalla Tripoli
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Al Wehda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Wehda picked up more points recently compared to Al Mahalla Tripoli.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Al Wehda Clean Sheet 17%
Al Mahalla Tripoli Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 54%
Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wehda Al Mahalla Tripoli
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 13
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.67 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.21

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2021 Premier League
Al Mahalla Tripoli vs Al Wehda
4:1
May 21, 2021 Premier League
Al Wehda vs Al Mahalla Tripoli
0:1
Feb 27, 2019 Premier League
Al Mahalla Tripoli vs Al Wehda
0:1
Apr 26, 2018 Premier League
Al Wehda vs Al Mahalla Tripoli
1:1
Nov 8, 2017 Premier League
Al Mahalla Tripoli vs Al Wehda
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wehda 38 / 100
Al Mahalla Tripoli 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wehda Al Mahalla Tripoli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Wehda or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +27.4%
4.55
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Wehda attacking → ← attacking Al Mahalla Tripoli

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Wehda scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Al Mahalla Tripoli let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Al Wehda went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Al Mahalla Tripoli lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 34
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Ahly Benghazi22172338:1353
2Al Akhdar22171440:1452
3Al Hilal Benghazi22164236:1352
4Al Nasr22154331:1349
5Khaleej Sirte22105722:1935
6Al Sadaqa22651120:2623
7Al Tahaddi22641214:2122
8Darnes2249920:2821
9Shabaab Al Jabal22391023:3318
10Al Taawun22451322:3517
11Al-Anwar22271322:4913
12Ngom Ajdabiya22251512:3611
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Ittihad22156126:651
2Al Ahly Tripoli22147129:749
3Olympic Azzaweya2296722:1933
4Al Ittihad Misurata2295826:2532
5Abu Salim22931023:2630
6Asswehly2279615:1528
7Al Mahalla Tripoli22511621:2326
8Al Madina2267921:1725
9Al-Khmes2258921:2823
10Al Shat22641217:2522
11Rafeeq22561121:3421
12Al Wehda22441414:3116