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Al Yarmuk vs Al Baydaa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Yemen Yemen

Division 1
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Yarmuk host Al Baydaa in the Division 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Al Yarmuk at 1.24 goals for, 1.05 against; Al Baydaa at 0.83 for, 1.83 against. Past meetings favor Al Baydaa slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 3, 2010, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 0.76) point toward Al Yarmuk. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Al Yarmuk
35%
Draws
0%
Al Baydaa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Yarmuk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Al Yarmuk's 1.24 goals per match outpaces what Al Baydaa have produced (0.83).
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Al Yarmuk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Al Yarmuk Clean Sheet 20%
Al Baydaa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Yarmuk Al Baydaa
Matches Played 21 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 2
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 1.24 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.05 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2010 Division 1
Al Yarmuk vs Al Baydaa
1:2
Feb 7, 2010 Division 1
Al Baydaa vs Al Yarmuk
2:0
Mar 19, 2009 Division 1
Al Baydaa vs Al Yarmuk
0:0
Dec 5, 2008 Division 1
Al Yarmuk vs Al Baydaa
1:0
Jul 20, 2007 Division 1
Al Baydaa vs Al Yarmuk
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Yarmuk 85 / 100
Al Baydaa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Yarmuk Al Baydaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Yarmuk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Al Yarmuk stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Al Baydaa's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Al Yarmuk found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (21 games).

Al Baydaa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Yarmuk VS Al Baydaa
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Yarmuk

(Home)
19 Aug
Al Oruba
0 : 1
Al Yarmuk
13 Aug
Al Wahda
0 : 0
Al Yarmuk
07 Aug
Al Ittihad
2 : 2
Al Yarmuk
22 Jul
Al Yarmuk
1 : 1
Tadamone Hadramout
16 Jul
Al Yarmuk
1 : 1
Al Ahli
Page 1 of 5

Al Baydaa

(Away)
20 Aug
Al Baydaa
0 : 2
Al Ahli
13 Aug
Ittihad Hadramout
3 : 0
Al Baydaa
07 Aug
Tadamone Hadramout
1 : 0
Al Baydaa
23 Jul
Al Baydaa
0 : 1
Al Ittihad
16 Jul
Salam
2 : 1
Al Baydaa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shabab Hadramaut 12 9 2 1 18:3 29
2 Tadamone Hadramout 12 8 2 2 15:5 26
3 Al Sadd 12 6 4 2 19:9 22
4 Al Ahli 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
5 Al Wahda 11 6 3 2 14:8 21
6 Fhman 12 6 2 4 16:9 20
7 Al Yarmuk 12 5 5 2 15:10 20
8 Mukallah 12 6 1 5 14:11 19
9 Al Oruba 12 6 1 5 15:16 19
10 Ittihad Hadramout 12 3 1 8 12:19 10
11 Al Ittihad 12 2 3 7 7:18 9
12 Al Hilal 11 2 1 8 8:22 7
13 Salam 12 2 0 10 6:20 6
14 Al Baydaa 12 1 1 10 6:24 4
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