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Al Yarmuk vs Al-Shaab Ibb

Yemen Yemen

Division 1 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Yarmuk play Al-Shaab Ibb in the Division 1 2021. Al Yarmuk are favorites here. Recently, Al Yarmuk averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Al-Shaab Ibb averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Al Yarmuk won 2, Al-Shaab Ibb won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 3, 2021 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Al Yarmuk and 1.00 for Al-Shaab Ibb. This points to a Al Yarmuk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Al Yarmuk
25%
Draws
15%
Al-Shaab Ibb
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Al Yarmuk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Yarmuk picked up more points recently compared to Al-Shaab Ibb.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Al Yarmuk Clean Sheet 23%
Al-Shaab Ibb Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Yarmuk Al-Shaab Ibb
Matches Played 18 21
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.28 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2021 Division 1
Al-Shaab Ibb vs Al Yarmuk
2:2
Oct 6, 2021 Division 1
Al Yarmuk vs Al-Shaab Ibb
2:1
Jan 25, 2015 Division 1
Al Yarmuk vs Al-Shaab Ibb
0:0
Sep 19, 2014 Division 1
Al-Shaab Ibb vs Al Yarmuk
2:0
Apr 25, 2014 Division 1
Al Yarmuk vs Al-Shaab Ibb
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Yarmuk 59 / 100
Al-Shaab Ibb 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Yarmuk Al-Shaab Ibb

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Yarmuk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Al Yarmuk & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Yarmuk attacking → ← attacking Al-Shaab Ibb

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Yarmuk scored in 78% of their last 18 games.

Al-Shaab Ibb let in goals in 76% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Al Yarmuk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al-Shaab Ibb lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 25
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Wahda1062214:820
2Fhman1043316:1215
3Al Shabab Hadramaut103618:515
4Al Oruba1033413:1512
5Al-Ittihad102538:1011
6Shabab Al Jeel100557:165
7Al-Tilal00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Ahli851210:416
2Al-Saqr83238:811
3Al Helal Al Sahely83238:911
4Al Yarmuk82338:129
5Al-Shaab Ibb82248:98
6Al-Wahda Aden00000:00
7Al Shula00000:00