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Al Zawraa vs Al Naft Prediction & H2H Stats

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Moses A.
78' Event
Khaled A.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Stars League 2025/2026 game between Al Zawraa and Al Naft finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Naft.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Al Zawraa
20%
Draws
35%
Al Naft
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Zawraa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Zawraa come out ahead of Al Naft on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Al Zawraa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 20%
Al Naft Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Zawraa Al Naft
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 11 13
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.48 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.74 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Naft
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Stars League
Al Naft vs Al Zawraa
0:0
Jul 2, 2025 Stars League
Al Naft vs Al Zawraa
2:1
Jan 15, 2025 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Naft
3:1
Jul 4, 2024 Stars League
Al Naft vs Al Zawraa
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Zawraa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Al Naft Compare

Top Goalscorer Moses A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Zawraa 76 / 100
Al Naft 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Zawraa Al Naft

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Zawraa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Zawraa found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Al Zawraa stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Al Naft's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Zawraa VS Al Naft
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Zawraa

(Home)
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Al Gharraf
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Zawraa
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
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Al Naft

(Away)
18 Sept
Al Mosul
0 : 1
Al Naft
14 Sept
Al Naft
2 : 1
Karbala
09 Sept
Al Karma
3 : 0
Al Naft
05 Sept
Al Minaa
0 : 3
Al Naft
31 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Naft
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)