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Al Zawraa vs Diyala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Jamous A.
36' Event
Mohammad M.
Assist: Tomiwa Gbadamosi I.
51'
Jamous A.

AI Match Summary

Al Zawraa in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Zawraa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Al Zawraa
30%
Draws
23%
Diyala
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Zawraa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Zawraa lately — more wins on the board than Diyala.
  • Win probability leans Al Zawraa's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 68%
Diyala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Zawraa Diyala
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 11 6
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Diyala
2:0
Jan 13, 2026 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Zawraa
1:1
May 8, 2025 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Diyala
1:0
Jan 23, 2025 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Zawraa
1:1
Jun 22, 2010 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Zawraa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Zawraa Compare

Top Goalscorer Jamous A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mohammad M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Diyala Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Zawraa 86 / 100
Diyala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Zawraa Diyala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Zawraa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Zawraa found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Diyala let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Zawraa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Zawraa VS Diyala
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Zawraa

(Home)
08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0
Al Zawraa
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Al Gharraf
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 6

Diyala

(Away)
19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1
Diyala
12 Sept
Diyala
3 : 1
Al Gharraf
08 Sept
Erbil
2 : 0
Diyala
03 Sept
Diyala
1 : 2
Al Karma
29 Aug
Diyala
3 : 3
Al Golan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)