Sport Picks
Al Zawraa vs Naft Missan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iraq
Stars League 
Match Events
15'
15'
Al Ani L.
Penalty Missed
15'
15'
Al Ani L.
41'
41'
Qasim M.
Assist: Chobanov M.
AI Match Summary
Al Zawraa in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Zawraa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Zawraa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al Zawraa lately — more wins on the board than Naft Missan.
- Al Zawraa are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 68%
Naft Missan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Zawraa | Naft Missan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 4 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 25, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Naft Missan
4:0
Jun 5, 2026 Iraq Cup
Naft Missan vs Al Zawraa
0:0
Mar 13, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Naft Missan
1:1
Jan 9, 2026 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Zawraa
2:2
May 13, 2025 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Zawraa
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Zawraa Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Ani L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Qasim M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Naft Missan Compare
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Zawraa 86 / 100
Naft Missan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Zawraa Naft Missan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Zawraa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Al Zawraa scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Naft Missan has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Al Zawraa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Al Zawraa VS Naft Missan
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Zawraa
(Home) 08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0 Al Zawraa
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0 Al Gharraf
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1 Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0 Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2 Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0 Al Gharraf
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0 Al Kahraba
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0 Zakho
25 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0 Naft Missan
15 Aug
Al Zawraa
0 : 0 Al Minaa
Page 1 of 3
Naft Missan
(Away) 08 Oct
Naft Missan
1 : 1 Erbil
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2 Naft Missan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0 Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Naft Missan
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2 Newroz
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2 Naft Missan
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Naft Missan
29 Aug
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1 Naft Missan
25 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0 Naft Missan
02 Jun
Al Gharraf
0 : 2 Naft Missan
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Karma | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Newroz | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:4 | 18 |
| 3 | Al Zawraa | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Erbil | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | 18 |
| 5 | Al Naft | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11:5 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Shorta | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9:4 | 16 |
| 7 | Duhok | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Al Golan | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Minaa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 11 | Diyala | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | Zakho | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:12 | 9 |
| 13 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4:5 | 8 |
| 14 | Al Talaba | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 15 | Naft Missan | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 16 | Al Mosul | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 17 | Al Karkh | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 19 | Al Gharraf | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4:12 | 6 |
| 20 | Karbala | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:15 | 5 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)
