Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Zawraa vs Zakho

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Qasim M.
Assist: Abdulkareem H.
37' Event
Ahmed H.
Assist: Cabrera M.
53' Event
Ahmed H.

AI Match Summary

Al Zawraa in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Zawraa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Al Zawraa
30%
Draws
19%
Zakho
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Zawraa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Zawraa have won more games recently than Zakho.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Al Zawraa taking it.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 68%
Zakho Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Zawraa Zakho
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Zakho
4:0
Apr 8, 2026 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Zawraa
1:1
Feb 5, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Zakho
4:2
May 2, 2025 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Zawraa
0:0
Oct 25, 2024 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Zakho
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Zawraa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmed H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Qasim M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Zakho Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Zawraa 95 / 100
Zakho 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Zawraa Zakho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Zawraa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Zawraa scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Zakho has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Zawraa remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Zawraa VS Zakho
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Zawraa

(Home)
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Al Gharraf
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Zawraa
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
Page 1 of 6

Zakho

(Away)
19 Sept
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Zakho
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)