Sport Picks
Alacranes de Durango vs Halcones de Zapopan
Mexico
Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 Estadio Francisco Zarco, Durango 
Match Events
11'
11'
88'
88'
90'
90'
AI Match Summary
Alacranes de Durango in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alacranes de Durango
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Alacranes de Durango lately — more wins on the board than Halcones de Zapopan.
- Win probability leans Alacranes de Durango's way, sitting at 42%.
- Alacranes de Durango have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Alacranes de Durango, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Alacranes de Durango Clean Sheet 20%
Halcones de Zapopan Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alacranes de Durango | Halcones de Zapopan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.68 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.90 | 0.78 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Alacranes de Durango vs Halcones de Zapopan
2:1
Apr 29, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Halcones de Zapopan vs Alacranes de Durango
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alacranes de Durango 42 / 100
Halcones de Zapopan 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alacranes de Durango Halcones de Zapopan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Alacranes de Durango scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Alacranes de Durango has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Halcones de Zapopan let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Alacranes de Durango VS Halcones de Zapopan
1 Goals Scored 0.8
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.8
50% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Alacranes de Durango
(Home) 27 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
18 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
29 Aug
Correcaminos
0 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
23 Aug
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 2 Leones Negros
08 Aug
Alacranes de Durango
0 : 3 Piratas
10 May
Alacranes de Durango
0 : 0 Deportiva Venados
Page 1 of 4
Halcones de Zapopan
(Away) 03 May
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 1 Halcones de Zapopan
29 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
0 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
25 Apr
Racing de Veracruz
0 : 2 Halcones de Zapopan
22 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
0 : 0 Racing de Veracruz
19 Apr
Tigres de Alica
2 : 1 Halcones de Zapopan
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 1 Halcones de Zapopan
25 Apr
Racing de Veracruz
0 : 2 Halcones de Zapopan
19 Apr
Tigres de Alica
2 : 1 Halcones de Zapopan
11 Apr
Zitacuaro
1 : 0 Halcones de Zapopan
15 Mar
Gavilanes de Matamoros
0 : 1 Halcones de Zapopan
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Racing de Veracruz -
TBD -
Tigres de Alica 2
Halcones de Zapopan 3
Alacranes de Durango -
TBD -
FC Santiago 3
Zacatepec 4
Deportiva Venados 3
Calor De San Pedro 1
Tapachula 1
Tritones Vallarta 2
Apodaca -
TBD -
Tecos 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen 2
Quarter-finals
Racing de Veracruz 0
Halcones de Zapopan 2
Alacranes de Durango 3
Zacatepec 3
Deportiva Venados 2
Tritones Vallarta 1
Apodaca 3
Inter Playa Del Carmen 1
Semi-finals
Halcones de Zapopan 1
Alacranes de Durango 2
Deportiva Venados 5
Apodaca 3
Final
Alacranes de Durango 1
Deportiva Venados 2
