Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A Estadio Francisco Zarco, Durango

Alacranes de Durango

0 - 1

Tigres de Alica

Our Tip

Match Events

62'

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A game between Alacranes de Durango and Tigres de Alica finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tigres de Alica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Alacranes de Durango

44%

Draws

20%

Tigres de Alica

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Alacranes de Durango carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Alacranes de Durango Clean Sheet 20%

Tigres de Alica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alacranes de Durango	Tigres de Alica
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	21	20
Draws	6	3
Losses	4	7
Goals Scored	2.5	1.71
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.14
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Alacranes de Durango vs Tigres de Alica

0:1

Sep 13, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Tigres de Alica vs Alacranes de Durango

1:2

Mar 22, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Tigres de Alica vs Alacranes de Durango

1:3

Nov 9, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Alacranes de Durango vs Tigres de Alica

1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alacranes de Durango 36 / 100

Tigres de Alica 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alacranes de Durango Tigres de Alica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alacranes de Durango scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Tigres de Alica let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Alacranes de Durango stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alacranes de Durango VS Tigres de Alica

2.5 Goals Scored 1.71

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.14

88% Over 1.5 86%

75% Over 2.5 43%

38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Alacranes de Durango

(Home)

10 May

Alacranes de Durango

0 : 0

Deportiva Venados

06 May

Deportiva Venados

2 : 1

Alacranes de Durango

03 May

Alacranes de Durango

2 : 1

Halcones de Zapopan

29 Apr

Halcones de Zapopan

0 : 0

Alacranes de Durango

26 Apr

Alacranes de Durango

1 : 1

Zacatepec

Page 1 of 7

Tigres de Alica

(Away)

19 Apr

Tigres de Alica

2 : 1

Halcones de Zapopan

15 Apr

Halcones de Zapopan

2 : 0

Tigres de Alica

12 Apr

Los Cabos United

0 : 2

Tigres de Alica

29 Mar

Tigres de Alica

3 : 2

UA Zacatecas

22 Mar

Tigres de Alica

1 : 0

Tritones Vallarta

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

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League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

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League Standings (Group 3)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17

Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)