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Alacranes de Durango vs UA Zacatecas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 Estadio Francisco Zarco, Durango
Alacranes de Durango Logo

Alacranes de Durango

3 - 0
FT
UA Zacatecas Logo

UA Zacatecas

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Reyes Olguin J. I.
25' Event
Munoz J.
88' Event
Vazquez D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alacranes de Durango in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alacranes de Durango.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Alacranes de Durango
20%
Draws
33%
UA Zacatecas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alacranes de Durango

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alacranes de Durango lately — more wins on the board than UA Zacatecas.
  • Win probability leans Alacranes de Durango's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Alacranes de Durango Clean Sheet 68%
UA Zacatecas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alacranes de Durango UA Zacatecas
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 24 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 2.03 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Alacranes de Durango vs UA Zacatecas
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
UA Zacatecas vs Alacranes de Durango
0:5
Mar 18, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
UA Zacatecas vs Alacranes de Durango
2:0
Dec 8, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
UA Zacatecas vs Alacranes de Durango
1:3
Dec 5, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Alacranes de Durango vs UA Zacatecas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alacranes de Durango Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyes Olguin J. I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

UA Zacatecas Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alacranes de Durango 68 / 100
UA Zacatecas 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alacranes de Durango UA Zacatecas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alacranes de Durango Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Alacranes de Durango scored in 79% of their last 39 outings.

UA Zacatecas has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Alacranes de Durango stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alacranes de Durango VS UA Zacatecas
1.13 Goals Scored 4
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Alacranes de Durango

(Home)
04 Oct
Alacranes de Durango
4 : 2
Zacatecas Mineros
27 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1
Alacranes de Durango
18 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0
Alacranes de Durango
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1
Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 8

UA Zacatecas

(Away)
11 Apr
UA Zacatecas
4 : 1
Ensenada FC
29 Mar
Tigres de Alica
3 : 2
UA Zacatecas
22 Mar
Zapotlanejo
4 : 2
UA Zacatecas
18 Mar
UA Zacatecas
1 : 0
Tecos
14 Mar
UA Zacatecas
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)