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Alagoinhas U20 vs Doce Mel U20

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Baiano U20 2023 game between Alagoinhas U20 and Doce Mel U20 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alagoinhas U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Alagoinhas U20
20%
Draws
44%
Doce Mel U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Doce Mel U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Doce Mel U20 haven't matched Alagoinhas U20's recent run of results.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Doce Mel U20 taking it.
  • Regular Baiano U20 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Alagoinhas U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Doce Mel U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alagoinhas U20 Doce Mel U20
Matches Played 33 23
Wins 12 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.42 0.74
Goals Conceded 2.06 2.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Baiano U20
Alagoinhas U20 vs Doce Mel U20
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alagoinhas U20 10 / 100
Doce Mel U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alagoinhas U20 Doce Mel U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Doce Mel U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Doce Mel U20 conceded in 96% of 23 recent games.

Alagoinhas U20 found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (33 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Alagoinhas U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alagoinhas U20 VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alagoinhas U20

(Home)
08 Sept
Bahia U20
16 : 0
Alagoinhas U20
13 Jun
Camacariense U20
2 : 2
Alagoinhas U20
06 Jun
Alagoinhas U20
0 : 1
Camacariense U20
03 Jun
Fluminense de Feira U20
1 : 3
Alagoinhas U20
30 May
Alagoinhas U20
0 : 0
Jacuipense U20
Page 1 of 7

Doce Mel U20

(Away)
07 May
Alagoinhas U20
2 : 1
Doce Mel U20
30 Apr
Doce Mel U20
2 : 1
Barcelona FC U20
23 Apr
Leonico U20
1 : 3
Doce Mel U20
19 Apr
Doce Mel U20
2 : 4
Vitoria da Conquista U20
15 Apr
Vitoria U20
3 : 0
Doce Mel U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia de Feira U20 8 6 2 0 20:5 20
2 Bahia U20 8 6 0 2 16:8 18
3 Jacuipense U20 8 5 1 2 15:6 16
4 Atlantico EC U20 8 3 3 2 15:12 12
5 SSA U20 8 3 3 2 12:16 12
6 Itabuna U20 8 4 0 4 15:20 12
7 Juazeiro U20 8 2 0 6 12:22 6
8 UNIRB U20 8 1 1 6 11:16 4
9 Juazeirense U20 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Baiano U20 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria U20 9 8 1 0 30:3 25
2 Camacariense U20 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Conquista FC U20 9 5 1 3 11:8 16
4 Atlantico EC U20 8 3 3 2 15:12 12
5 Vitoria da Conquista U20 8 4 0 4 11:11 12
6 Jacobinense U20 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
7 Doce Mel U20 9 3 0 6 9:15 9
8 Alagoinhas U20 9 2 2 5 7:16 8
9 Leonico U20 9 2 1 6 12:30 7
10 Esporte Clube Pocoes U20 9 0 0 9 5:25 0
Promotion - Baiano U20 2023 (Play Offs)