Sport Picks

Brazil

Baiano Carneiro

Alagoinhas

2 - 4

Bahia

Our Tip

Match Events

Everaldo

30'

Wanderson

38'

Rodrigo Nestor

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bahia in this Baiano matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bahia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Alagoinhas

Draws

90%

Bahia

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bahia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Bahia lately — more wins on the board than Alagoinhas.
90% — that's where the model lands on Bahia taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Alagoinhas Clean Sheet 15%

Bahia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alagoinhas	Bahia
Matches Played	30	37
Wins	4	20
Draws	8	8
Losses	18	9
Goals Scored	0.43	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.86	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.43	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.86	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Baiano

Alagoinhas vs Bahia

Possession: 54% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

2:4

Jan 17, 2025 Baiano

Bahia vs Alagoinhas

Possession: 41% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Jan 21, 2024 Baiano

Alagoinhas vs Bahia

Possession: 48% - 40% Cards: 0 - 4

3:3

Feb 18, 2023 Copa do Nordeste

Alagoinhas vs Bahia

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 4 - 1

1:2

Jan 19, 2023 Baiano

Bahia vs Alagoinhas

Possession: 44% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alagoinhas Compare

Top Goalscorer Douglas Rocha Araujo M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Everson Ribeiro

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.33

Avg xA / game 0.21

Bahia Compare

Top Goalscorer Everaldo

1 Goals

Assists Leader Rodrigo Nestor

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alagoinhas 10 / 100

Bahia 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alagoinhas Bahia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAH Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:2

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Bahia has conceded goals in 78% of their last 37 outings.

Alagoinhas's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Alagoinhas has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alagoinhas VS Bahia

0.43 Goals Scored 1.25

1.86 Goals Conceded 2.13

43% Over 1.5 100%

43% Over 2.5 75%

14% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bahia	9	7	2	0	26:9	23
2	Vitoria	9	4	4	1	13:4	16
3	Jacuipense	9	3	4	2	11:10	13
4	Juazeirense	9	3	4	2	7:9	13
5	Jequie	9	3	3	3	15:13	12
6	Porto-BA	9	2	5	2	10:12	11
7	Barcelona FC	9	2	4	3	7:15	10
8	Galicia	9	3	0	6	7:14	9
9	Bahia de Feira	9	2	3	4	11:12	9
10	Alagoinhas	9	0	3	6	5:14	3