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Alagoinhas vs Cajazeiras - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2017
Alagoinhas Logo

Alagoinhas

1 - 1
FT
Cajazeiras Logo

Cajazeiras

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2017 game between Alagoinhas and Cajazeiras finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Alagoinhas
35%
Draws
46%
Cajazeiras
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cajazeiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cajazeiras come out ahead of Alagoinhas on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cajazeiras a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Alagoinhas Clean Sheet 17%
Cajazeiras Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alagoinhas Cajazeiras
Matches Played 38 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 13 11
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.74 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2018 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs Cajazeiras
1:1
May 19, 2018 Baiano 2
Cajazeiras vs Alagoinhas
0:0
May 12, 2018 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs Cajazeiras
0:0
Mar 10, 2018 Baiano 2
Cajazeiras vs Alagoinhas
2:3
Jun 3, 2017 Baiano 2
Cajazeiras vs Alagoinhas
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alagoinhas 10 / 100
Cajazeiras 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alagoinhas Cajazeiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cajazeiras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cajazeiras has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Alagoinhas's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Solid form: Alagoinhas remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alagoinhas VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alagoinhas

(Home)
14 Jun
Alagoinhas
1 : 7
CSA
31 May
Juazeirense
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
24 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
17 May
Alagoinhas
0 : 1
Jacuipense
10 May
ASA
3 : 0
Alagoinhas
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Cajazeiras

(Away)
12 May
Cajazeiras
0 : 0
UNIRB
05 May
Canaa EC
2 : 2
Cajazeiras
27 Apr
EC Olimpia
3 : 1
Cajazeiras
21 Apr
Cajazeiras
1 : 3
Doce Mel
14 Apr
Cajazeiras
4 : 0
Galicia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jequie 10 6 3 1 15:3 21
2 Cajazeiras 10 4 6 0 14:9 18
3 Alagoinhas 10 4 3 3 11:11 15
4 Colo Colo 10 4 3 3 13:15 15
5 Teixeira de Freitas 10 3 3 4 12:17 12
6 EC Ypiranga 10 0 0 10 0:10 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 2017 (Play Offs)