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Alagoinhas vs EC Ypiranga

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alagoinhas in this Baiano 2 2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alagoinhas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Alagoinhas
30%
Draws
54%
EC Ypiranga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: EC Ypiranga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to EC Ypiranga lately — more wins on the board than Alagoinhas.
  • Win probability leans EC Ypiranga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Alagoinhas Clean Sheet 17%
EC Ypiranga Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alagoinhas EC Ypiranga
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.7 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2017 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Alagoinhas
0:1
Apr 22, 2017 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs EC Ypiranga
1:0
Aug 28, 2016 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Alagoinhas
2:2
Jul 31, 2016 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs EC Ypiranga
3:1
May 24, 2015 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs EC Ypiranga
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alagoinhas 10 / 100
EC Ypiranga 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alagoinhas EC Ypiranga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Ypiranga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Ypiranga let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Alagoinhas scored in 48% of their last 33 games.

Alagoinhas has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alagoinhas VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alagoinhas

(Home)
14 Jun
Alagoinhas
1 : 7
CSA
31 May
Juazeirense
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
24 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
17 May
Alagoinhas
0 : 1
Jacuipense
10 May
ASA
3 : 0
Alagoinhas
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EC Ypiranga

(Away)
29 Jun
Bahia de Feira
2 : 0
EC Ypiranga
21 Jun
EC Ypiranga
3 : 0
Teixeira de Freitas
14 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
2 : 1
EC Ypiranga
08 Jun
EC Ypiranga
2 : 1
Leonico
01 Jun
Itabuna
2 : 2
EC Ypiranga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 9 7 2 0 19:1 23
2 Jacobina 9 6 2 1 15:4 20
3 CE Flamengo 9 6 2 1 22:12 20
4 Alagoinhas 9 5 1 3 18:12 16
5 Itabuna 9 4 0 5 13:11 12
6 Fluminense de Feira 9 3 3 3 8:10 12
7 EC Ypiranga 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
8 Jequie 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
9 Leonico 9 0 1 8 7:22 1
10 Ipitanga 9 0 1 8 4:35 1
Promotion - Baiano 2 2014 (Play Offs)