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Alagoinhas vs Juazeiro

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Baiano 2 2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Alagoinhas
35%
Draws
46%
Juazeiro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juazeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Alagoinhas haven't matched Juazeiro's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Juazeiro a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Alagoinhas Clean Sheet 17%
Juazeiro Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alagoinhas Juazeiro
Matches Played 39 33
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.67 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2016 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs Juazeiro
0:0
Aug 13, 2016 Baiano 2
Juazeiro vs Alagoinhas
3:1
May 10, 2015 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs Juazeiro
1:1
Feb 17, 2013 Baiano
Juazeiro vs Alagoinhas
5:0
Apr 4, 2012 Baiano
Alagoinhas vs Juazeiro
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alagoinhas 10 / 100
Juazeiro 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alagoinhas Juazeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juazeiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Juazeiro conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

Alagoinhas scored in 49% of their last 39 games.

Solid form: Alagoinhas remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alagoinhas VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alagoinhas

(Home)
14 Jun
Alagoinhas
1 : 7
CSA
31 May
Juazeirense
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
24 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
17 May
Alagoinhas
0 : 1
Jacuipense
10 May
ASA
3 : 0
Alagoinhas
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Juazeiro

(Away)
09 Jul
Juazeiro
1 : 2
Grapiuna
02 Jul
Jequie
1 : 0
Juazeiro
27 Jun
Juazeiro
1 : 1
UNIRB
18 Jun
Jacobina
0 : 0
Juazeiro
11 Jun
Juazeiro
4 : 0
Leonico
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense de Feira 8 5 1 2 15:10 16
2 CE Flamengo 8 4 3 1 13:6 15
3 Juazeiro 8 4 2 2 13:13 14
4 Itabuna 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
5 EC Ypiranga 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
6 Grapiuna 8 3 1 4 11:9 10
7 Botafogo BA 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
8 Alagoinhas 8 1 3 4 5:10 6
9 Jequie 8 1 2 5 10:21 5
Promotion - Baiano 2 2015 (Play Offs)