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Alagoinhas vs Teixeira de Freitas

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2017
Alagoinhas Logo

Alagoinhas

1 - 2
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Teixeira de Freitas Logo

Teixeira de Freitas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Teixeira de Freitas in this Baiano 2 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Teixeira de Freitas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Alagoinhas
20%
Draws
0%
Teixeira de Freitas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alagoinhas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Alagoinhas haven't matched Teixeira de Freitas's recent run of results.
  • Alagoinhas are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Alagoinhas Clean Sheet 17%
Teixeira de Freitas Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alagoinhas Teixeira de Freitas
Matches Played 41 36
Wins 8 11
Draws 11 6
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 0.76 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2018 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs Teixeira de Freitas
2:0
Mar 25, 2018 Baiano 2
Teixeira de Freitas vs Alagoinhas
2:1
May 27, 2017 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs Teixeira de Freitas
1:2
May 10, 2017 Baiano 2
Teixeira de Freitas vs Alagoinhas
3:4
Sep 11, 2016 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs Teixeira de Freitas
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alagoinhas 75 / 100
Teixeira de Freitas 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alagoinhas Teixeira de Freitas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alagoinhas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Teixeira de Freitas let in goals in 81% of their last 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Teixeira de Freitas has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Alagoinhas's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Alagoinhas VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alagoinhas

(Home)
14 Jun
Alagoinhas
1 : 7
CSA
31 May
Juazeirense
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
24 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
17 May
Alagoinhas
0 : 1
Jacuipense
10 May
ASA
3 : 0
Alagoinhas
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Teixeira de Freitas

(Away)
29 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Galicia
21 Jun
EC Ypiranga
3 : 0
Teixeira de Freitas
15 Jun
Leonico
3 : 0
Teixeira de Freitas
08 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Itabuna
31 May
Fluminense de Feira
2 : 0
Teixeira de Freitas
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jequie 10 6 3 1 15:3 21
2 Cajazeiras 10 4 6 0 14:9 18
3 Alagoinhas 10 4 3 3 11:11 15
4 Colo Colo 10 4 3 3 13:15 15
5 Teixeira de Freitas 10 3 3 4 12:17 12
6 EC Ypiranga 10 0 0 10 0:10 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 2017 (Play Offs)