Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alagoinhas vs Teixeira de Freitas

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2016 game between Alagoinhas and Teixeira de Freitas finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Teixeira de Freitas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Alagoinhas
11%
Draws
9%
Teixeira de Freitas
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Alagoinhas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Teixeira de Freitas come out ahead of Alagoinhas on wins alone.
  • Alagoinhas are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Alagoinhas Clean Sheet 17%
Teixeira de Freitas Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alagoinhas Teixeira de Freitas
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 4 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2018 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs Teixeira de Freitas
2:0
Mar 25, 2018 Baiano 2
Teixeira de Freitas vs Alagoinhas
2:1
May 27, 2017 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs Teixeira de Freitas
1:2
May 10, 2017 Baiano 2
Teixeira de Freitas vs Alagoinhas
3:4
Sep 11, 2016 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs Teixeira de Freitas
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alagoinhas 75 / 100
Teixeira de Freitas 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alagoinhas Teixeira de Freitas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Teixeira de Freitas let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Away concern: Teixeira de Freitas has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Alagoinhas scored in 47% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Alagoinhas VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Teixeira de Freitas1070320:1121
2Atlantico EC1053216:1018
3EC Ypiranga1052320:1417
4Alagoinhas1033411:1412
5Catuense1032512:1911
6Juazeiro1012712:235