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Alagoinhas W vs Jequie W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Baiano Women 2024 Carneiro, Alagoinhas
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alagoinhas W in this Baiano Women 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alagoinhas W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Alagoinhas W
20%
Draws
47%
Jequie W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jequie W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Alagoinhas W have won more games recently than Jequie W.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Jequie W taking it.
  • Regular Baiano Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Alagoinhas W Clean Sheet 14%
Jequie W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alagoinhas W Jequie W
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.93 2.42
Goals Conceded 2 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2024 Baiano Women
Jequie W vs Alagoinhas W
0:0
Aug 25, 2024 Baiano Women
Alagoinhas W vs Jequie W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alagoinhas W 11 / 100
Jequie W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alagoinhas W Jequie W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jequie W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alagoinhas W scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Jequie W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 19 outings.

Alagoinhas W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Alagoinhas W VS Jequie W
2.88 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alagoinhas W

(Home)
02 May
Prosperidade W
1 : 0
Alagoinhas W
29 Apr
Penarol W
:
Alagoinhas W
25 Apr
Alagoinhas W
1 : 1
Juventude W
19 Apr
Guarani de Paripueira W
0 : 1
Alagoinhas W
05 Apr
Alagoinhas W
1 : 0
Guarani de Paripueira W
Page 1 of 6

Jequie W

(Away)
07 Oct
CFFB W
1 : 2
Jequie W
27 Sept
Jequie W
1 : 1
Galicia W
20 Sept
Juazeirense W
0 : 12
Jequie W
12 Sept
Jequie W
0 : 6
Vitoria W
05 Sept
Camacariense W
1 : 2
Jequie W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria W 8 8 0 0 83:2 24
2 FSA W 8 4 0 4 14:33 12
3 Lusaca W 8 3 1 4 9:25 10
4 Jacobina W 8 3 0 5 19:31 9
5 Juazeirense W 8 1 1 6 8:42 4
Promotion - Baiano Women 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia W 8 8 0 0 94:1 24
2 Alagoinhas W 8 5 1 2 13:22 16
3 Jequie W 7 3 1 3 13:9 10
4 Barcelona FC W 7 1 0 6 3:46 3
5 Jacuipense W 8 1 0 7 5:50 3
Promotion - Baiano Women 2024 (Play Offs)