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Alaior vs Binissalem

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 game between Alaior and Binissalem finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Binissalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Alaior
30%
Draws
47%
Binissalem
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Binissalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Binissalem carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Alaior a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Alaior Clean Sheet 20%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaior Binissalem
Matches Played 31 43
Wins 6 16
Draws 7 11
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.77 1
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs Binissalem
1:0
Nov 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Alaior
0:2
May 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs Binissalem
1:2
Jan 7, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Alaior
3:1
Apr 17, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs Binissalem
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaior 36 / 100
Binissalem 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaior Binissalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Binissalem registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Alaior scored in 45% of their last 31 games.

Binissalem let in goals in 58% of their last 43 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Binissalem
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaior

(Home)
12 May
Alaior
1 : 1
Portmany
04 May
Mallorca B
2 : 1
Alaior
01 May
Alaior
0 : 3
UD Poblense
27 Apr
Constancia
1 : 0
Alaior
21 Apr
Alaior
0 : 0
Collerense
Page 1 of 7

Binissalem

(Away)
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0
CD Son Cladera
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
25 Apr
Binissalem
0 : 2
Mallorca B
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Constancia 38 24 13 1 68:21 85
2 Binissalem 38 24 8 6 59:26 80
3 Llosetense 38 23 7 8 81:50 76
4 CD Montuiri 38 22 9 7 66:28 75
5 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 20 12 6 56:23 72
6 Pena Deportiva 38 20 7 11 61:35 67
7 Santanyi 38 19 10 9 65:40 67
8 Campos 38 14 14 10 38:31 56
9 UD Poblense 38 14 13 11 49:39 55
10 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 42:47 52
11 Collerense 38 11 12 15 46:58 45
12 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:58 42
13 Son Ferrer 38 10 12 16 28:50 42
14 Alcudia 38 10 9 19 42:54 39
15 Espana 38 11 6 21 44:66 39
16 Atletico Isleno 38 9 11 18 46:60 38
17 Ferriolense 38 10 6 22 44:60 36
18 Platges de Calvia 38 9 7 22 41:65 34
19 CD Ferrerias 38 5 8 25 27:87 23
20 Alaior 38 4 9 25 35:76 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)