Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alaior vs CD Montuiri

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012
Alaior Logo

Alaior

0 - 1
FT
CD Montuiri Logo

CD Montuiri

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 game between Alaior and CD Montuiri finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Montuiri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Alaior
30%
Draws
47%
CD Montuiri
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Montuiri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • CD Montuiri carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Alaior a 23% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Alaior Clean Sheet 12%
CD Montuiri Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaior CD Montuiri
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 6 15
Draws 7 10
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.77 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs CD Montuiri
0:1
Nov 19, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Montuiri vs Alaior
3:1
Jan 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs CD Montuiri
1:1
Aug 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Montuiri vs Alaior
1:1
Feb 20, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs CD Montuiri
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaior 47 / 100
CD Montuiri 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaior CD Montuiri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Montuiri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

CD Montuiri lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Alaior found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Alaior VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaior

(Home)
12 May
Alaior
1 : 1
Portmany
04 May
Mallorca B
2 : 1
Alaior
01 May
Alaior
0 : 3
UD Poblense
27 Apr
Constancia
1 : 0
Alaior
21 Apr
Alaior
0 : 0
Collerense
Page 1 of 7

CD Montuiri

(Away)
15 May
UD Poblense
6 : 1
CD Montuiri
08 May
CD Montuiri
1 : 1
Mercadal
01 May
Formentera
3 : 0
CD Montuiri
24 Apr
CD Montuiri
1 : 0
Ferriolense
16 Apr
Campos
2 : 0
CD Montuiri
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Constancia 38 24 13 1 68:21 85
2 Binissalem 38 24 8 6 59:26 80
3 Llosetense 38 23 7 8 81:50 76
4 CD Montuiri 38 22 9 7 66:28 75
5 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 20 12 6 56:23 72
6 Pena Deportiva 38 20 7 11 61:35 67
7 Santanyi 38 19 10 9 65:40 67
8 Campos 38 14 14 10 38:31 56
9 UD Poblense 38 14 13 11 49:39 55
10 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 42:47 52
11 Collerense 38 11 12 15 46:58 45
12 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:58 42
13 Son Ferrer 38 10 12 16 28:50 42
14 Alcudia 38 10 9 19 42:54 39
15 Espana 38 11 6 21 44:66 39
16 Atletico Isleno 38 9 11 18 46:60 38
17 Ferriolense 38 10 6 22 44:60 36
18 Platges de Calvia 38 9 7 22 41:65 34
19 CD Ferrerias 38 5 8 25 27:87 23
20 Alaior 38 4 9 25 35:76 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)