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Alajuelense vs Inter San Carlos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Wilson R.
9'
Azofeifa W.
14' Event
Cisneros R.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Alajuelense and Inter San Carlos finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alajuelense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Alajuelense
20%
Draws
40%
Inter San Carlos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Inter San Carlos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Alajuelense a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Alajuelense Clean Sheet 68%
Inter San Carlos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alajuelense Inter San Carlos
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 15 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.63 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Inter San Carlos
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alajuelense Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cisneros R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Inter San Carlos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alajuelense 86 / 100
Inter San Carlos 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alajuelense Inter San Carlos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alajuelense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alajuelense found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Alajuelense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Inter San Carlos has conceded goals in 42% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alajuelense VS Inter San Carlos
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alajuelense

(Home)
20 Sept
Alajuelense
5 : 0
Inter San Carlos
18 Sept
Alajuelense
3 : 1
Marathon
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1
Alajuelense
11 Sept
Marathon
2 : 2
Alajuelense
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2
Saprissa
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Inter San Carlos

(Away)
20 Sept
Alajuelense
5 : 0
Inter San Carlos
12 Sept
Inter San Carlos
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
05 Sept
Escorpiones
0 : 2
Inter San Carlos
29 Aug
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Inter San Carlos
23 Aug
Inter San Carlos
1 : 0
Saprissa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 9 7 0 2 20:10 21
2 Cartagines 9 6 0 3 18:10 18
3 Sporting FC 9 5 2 2 16:8 17
4 San Carlos 9 5 0 4 8:9 15
5 Alajuelense 9 4 2 3 15:10 14
6 Inter San Carlos 9 4 2 3 9:12 14
7 Puntarenas FC 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
8 Zeledon 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
9 Herediano 9 2 1 6 8:14 7
10 Escorpiones 9 1 1 7 6:15 4
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)