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Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sub
Anor J. In: Perez C.
Out: Anor J.
15'
Perez C.
34'
Davis E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Alajuelense
30%
Draws
43%
Plaza Amador
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Plaza Amador

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Plaza Amador carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Alajuelense a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Plaza Amador arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Plaza Amador, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Alajuelense Clean Sheet 10%
Plaza Amador Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alajuelense Plaza Amador
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 19
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.68 2.41
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador
3:1
Aug 1, 2025 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Alajuelense vs Plaza Amador
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alajuelense Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cisneros R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Plaza Amador Compare

Top Goalscorer Rose E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alajuelense 40 / 100
Plaza Amador 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alajuelense Plaza Amador

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alajuelense scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Plaza Amador conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Alajuelense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alajuelense VS Plaza Amador
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Alajuelense

(Home)
20 Sept
Alajuelense
5 : 0
Inter San Carlos
18 Sept
Alajuelense
3 : 1
Marathon
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1
Alajuelense
11 Sept
Marathon
2 : 2
Alajuelense
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2
Saprissa
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Plaza Amador

(Away)
04 Oct
Plaza Amador
2 : 1
Union Deportivo Universitario
27 Sept
Union Cocle
1 : 2
Plaza Amador
20 Sept
Plaza Amador
1 : 1
Veraguas
12 Sept
Independiente
2 : 2
Plaza Amador
06 Sept
Plaza Amador
4 : 1
Herrera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alajuelense 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Luis Angel Firpo 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Plaza Amador 4 2 0 2 10:10 6
4 Xelaju 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
5 Diriangen 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
2 Marathon 4 2 1 1 6:1 7
3 Herediano 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Esteli 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
5 Antigua 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 4 4 0 0 9:3 12
2 Saprissa 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
3 Deportivo Mixco 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
4 Alianza 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
5 UMECIT 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagines 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
2 Motagua 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
3 Municipal 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
4 FAS 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
5 Verdes 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)