Sport Picks
Alajuelense vs San Carlos
Costa Rica
Primera Division Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela 
AI Match Summary
Alajuelense host San Carlos in the Primera Division. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. San Carlos have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Alajuelense have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Alajuelense have won 4 to San Carlos's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.19, favoring Alajuelense. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Alajuelense carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Alajuelense's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Alajuelense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alajuelense | San Carlos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alajuelense's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
San Carlos has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Alajuelense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
San Carlos's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Alajuelense
(Home)San Carlos
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saprissa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Escorpiones | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Cartagines | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Alajuelense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 5 | Herediano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 6 | Puntarenas FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 | Sporting FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 | Inter San Carlos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 9 | San Carlos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 10 | Zeledon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
