Sport Picks
Alajuelense vs Xelaju
North & Central America
CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela 
Match Events
40'
40'
Aparicio J.
46'
46'
Sub
Paz D. In: Pinar F.
Out: Paz D.
46'
46'
Sub
Wilson R. In: Borges C.
Out: Wilson R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alajuelense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Alajuelense have won more games recently than Xelaju.
- 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Alajuelense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Alajuelense, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Alajuelense have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Alajuelense Clean Sheet 68%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alajuelense | Xelaju |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 30, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Alajuelense vs Xelaju
1:0
Dec 4, 2025 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Xelaju vs Alajuelense
1:2
Nov 27, 2025 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Alajuelense vs Xelaju
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alajuelense Compare
Top Goalscorer Cisneros R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Xelaju Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alajuelense 41 / 100
Xelaju 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alajuelense Xelaju
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alajuelense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Alajuelense scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Xelaju has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Alajuelense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Alajuelense VS Xelaju
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Alajuelense
(Home) 20 Sept
Alajuelense
5 : 0 Inter San Carlos
18 Sept
Alajuelense
3 : 1 Marathon
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1 Alajuelense
11 Sept
Marathon
2 : 2 Alajuelense
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2 Saprissa
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Alajuelense
5 : 0 Inter San Carlos
18 Sept
Alajuelense
3 : 1 Marathon
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2 Saprissa
27 Aug
Alajuelense
3 : 1 Plaza Amador
24 Aug
Alajuelense
0 : 1 San Carlos
Page 1 of 4
Xelaju
(Away) 27 Sept
Xelaju
2 : 3 Comunicaciones
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0 Antigua
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2 Xelaju
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1 Xelaju
11 Sept
Xelaju
0 : 0 Coban Imperial
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2 Xelaju
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1 Xelaju
06 Sept
Marquense
0 : 4 Xelaju
23 Aug
Municipal
2 : 0 Xelaju
12 Aug
Plaza Amador
5 : 2 Xelaju
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alajuelense | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Luis Angel Firpo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Plaza Amador | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:10 | 6 |
| 4 | Xelaju | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 5 | Diriangen | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | 3 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Marathon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Herediano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Esteli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 5 | Antigua | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Saprissa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Deportivo Mixco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Alianza | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 5 | UMECIT | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cartagines | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 8 |
| 2 | Motagua | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 8 |
| 3 | Municipal | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 4 | FAS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 5 | Verdes | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:14 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
