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Alajuelense vs Zeledon

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Alvarado J.
46'
Sub
Rodriguez S. In: Mendez G.
Out: Rodriguez S.
46'
Sub
Salazar A. In: van der Putten S.
Out: Salazar A.

AI Match Summary

Alajuelense in this Primera Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alajuelense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Alajuelense
30%
Draws
31%
Zeledon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alajuelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Alajuelense have won more games recently than Zeledon.
  • Alajuelense are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Alajuelense Clean Sheet 20%
Zeledon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alajuelense Zeledon
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 15 5
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.51 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Alajuelense
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Zeledon
3:0
Jan 18, 2026 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Alajuelense
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Zeledon
3:2
Sep 7, 2025 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Alajuelense
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alajuelense Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarado J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zaldivar A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Zeledon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alajuelense 36 / 100
Zeledon 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alajuelense Zeledon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alajuelense found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (37 games).

Zeledon let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Alajuelense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alajuelense VS Zeledon
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alajuelense

(Home)
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1
Alajuelense
11 Sept
Marathon
2 : 2
Alajuelense
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2
Saprissa
30 Aug
Zeledon
1 : 1
Alajuelense
27 Aug
Alajuelense
3 : 1
Plaza Amador
Page 1 of 8

Zeledon

(Away)
12 Sept
Zeledon
0 : 2
San Carlos
05 Sept
Herediano
2 : 3
Zeledon
30 Aug
Zeledon
1 : 1
Alajuelense
22 Aug
Puntarenas FC
1 : 0
Zeledon
16 Aug
Zeledon
0 : 1
Inter San Carlos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Herediano 18 12 2 4 26:10 38
2 Saprissa 18 10 4 4 34:19 34
3 Liberia 18 10 3 5 24:18 33
4 Cartagines 18 10 2 6 26:20 32
5 Alajuelense 18 7 5 6 28:20 26
6 Sporting FC 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
7 San Carlos 18 6 3 9 21:25 21
8 Puntarenas FC 18 4 4 10 22:29 16
9 Zeledon 18 2 8 8 19:30 14
10 Guadalupe 18 3 5 10 13:37 14
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)