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Alamal SC Atbara vs Merikh Kosti

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2018 game between Alamal SC Atbara and Merikh Kosti finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alamal SC Atbara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Alamal SC Atbara
28%
Draws
22%
Merikh Kosti
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Alamal SC Atbara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Merikh Kosti haven't matched Alamal SC Atbara's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Alamal SC Atbara's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Alamal SC Atbara Clean Sheet 68%
Merikh Kosti Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alamal SC Atbara Merikh Kosti
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 12 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2018 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Merikh Kosti
1:0
Jul 28, 2018 Premier League
Merikh Kosti vs Alamal SC Atbara
3:2
Apr 20, 2018 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Merikh Kosti
3:2
Feb 18, 2018 Premier League
Merikh Kosti vs Alamal SC Atbara
0:0
Nov 24, 2017 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Merikh Kosti
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alamal SC Atbara 59 / 100
Merikh Kosti 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alamal SC Atbara Merikh Kosti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Merikh Kosti conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Alamal SC Atbara scored in 73% of their last 37 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Alamal SC Atbara has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alamal SC Atbara VS Merikh Kosti
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alamal SC Atbara1896322:1233
2Wad Hashim Sennar1878322:1929
3Al Shorta1877423:1728
4Hay Al Wadi1876517:1427
5Al Hilal Kadougli1868416:1226
6Ahli Khartoum1868419:1626
7El-Ahli Atbara1866620:2224
8Kober1865722:2123
9Merikh Kosti1854916:2319
10Merikh Nyala18121513:345