Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aland United W vs Gnistan W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Wiklöf Holding Arena, Mariehamn
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Kraemer A.
(Penalty)
33' Event
Nambi V.
Assist: Hillberg S.
39'
Sub
Aakko E. In: Laurinkoski H.
Out: Aakko E.

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women game between Aland United W and Gnistan W finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aland United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Aland United W
17%
Draws
13%
Gnistan W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Aland United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aland United W come out ahead of Gnistan W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Aland United W a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Aland United W Clean Sheet 20%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aland United W Gnistan W
Matches Played 32 16
Wins 17 5
Draws 2 1
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 2.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs Aland United W
1:4
Mar 28, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs Gnistan W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nambi V.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Hagstrom M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Gnistan W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aland United W 67 / 100
Gnistan W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aland United W Gnistan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aland United W found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Gnistan W let in goals in 75% of their last 16 matches.

Solid form: Aland United W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aland United W VS Gnistan W
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aland United W

(Home)
18 Jul
KuPS W
1 : 3
Aland United W
12 Jul
Aland United W
4 : 1
PK-35 Vantaa W
04 Jul
Ilves W
0 : 2
Aland United W
01 Jul
Aland United W
1 : 2
KuPS W
28 Jun
Aland United W
0 : 0
HPS W
Page 1 of 7

Gnistan W

(Away)
18 Jul
Ilves W
2 : 2
Gnistan W
12 Jul
Gnistan W
0 : 1
HJK W
05 Jul
VIFK Vaasa W
0 : 1
Gnistan W
27 Jun
Gnistan W
3 : 0
PK-35 Vantaa W
17 Jun
Gnistan W
0 : 2
KuPS W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1HJK W13120138:936
2Aland United W1381435:1825
3KuPS W1381430:2125
4HPS W1373318:1324
5Ilves W1361625:2519
6Gnistan W1341821:3113
7PK-35 Vantaa W13211013:347
8VIFK Vaasa W1302117:362
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)