Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aland United W vs KuPS W

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup Women Wiklöf Holding Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Own Goal
20' Event
Viinikka T.
29' Event
Juusela N.

AI Match Summary

Aland United W host KuPS W in the Suomen Cup Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. KuPS W have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Aland United W have conceded 1.63 and scored 2. Past meetings favor KuPS W slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 1, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.63 - 2.31) back KuPS W to edge this. KuPS W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Aland United W
39%
Draws
30%
KuPS W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • KuPS W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Aland United W.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in Suomen Cup Women increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Aland United W Clean Sheet 10%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aland United W KuPS W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 18
Draws 2 3
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 2 3
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
Aland United W vs KuPS W
1:2
May 17, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs KuPS W
1:6
Sep 27, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Aland United W
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs KuPS W
2:5
Jul 27, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs KuPS W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aland United W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

KuPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Viinikka T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Juusela N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aland United W 30 / 100
KuPS W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aland United W KuPS W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KUP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aland United W scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

KuPS W let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Aland United W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

KuPS W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aland United W VS KuPS W
2 Goals Scored 3
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Aland United W4
Tampere Utd W0
Ilves W-
TBD-
Gnistan W1
HIFK W0
KuPS W-
TBD-
VPS W3
FC PaRi Palokka W2
NuPS W0
PK-35 Vantaa W8
HJK U18 W4
Kiffen W0
TBD-
HJK W-
EPS W3
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) W2
Lahti W1
EBK W2
Loviisa W1
Keski-Uusimaa W0
KTP W0
Honka W1
Apassit W1
TPV W2
TBD-
HPS W-
Athene FC W3
Hertta W2
WFA W0
SJK-j Apollo W1
1/8-finals
Aland United W2
Ilves W1
Gnistan W0
KuPS W2
VPS W4
PK-35 Vantaa W6
HJK U18 W1
HJK W6
EPS W1
EBK W4
Loviisa W0
Honka W8
TPV W0
HPS W4
Athene FC W0
SJK-j Apollo W3
Quarter-finals
Aland United W1
KuPS W2
PK-35 Vantaa W1
HJK W4
EBK W4
Honka W1
HPS W5
SJK-j Apollo W1
Semi-finals
KuPS W0
HJK W1
EBK W0
HPS W4
Final
HJK W-
HPS W-