Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alania 2 vs Astrakhan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Dzukaev M.
16' Event
Bolonin A.
47' Event
Kanteev A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2024 game between Alania 2 and Astrakhan finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Astrakhan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Alania 2
20%
Draws
80%
Astrakhan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Astrakhan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Astrakhan come out ahead of Alania 2 on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Astrakhan taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Astrakhan have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Alania 2 Clean Sheet 17%
Astrakhan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alania 2 Astrakhan
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 4 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 0.7 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.73 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Alania 2 vs Astrakhan
2:3
Apr 20, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs Alania 2
2:1
Oct 8, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Alania 2 vs Astrakhan
0:3
Aug 27, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs Alania 2
5:0
May 31, 2014 FNL 2 - Group 1
Astrakhan vs Alania 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alania 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzukaev M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kanteev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Astrakhan Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolonin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bertin G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alania 2 10 / 100
Astrakhan 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alania 2 Astrakhan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Astrakhan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Astrakhan has conceded goals in 79% of their last 38 outings.

Attacking prowess: Alania 2 scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Astrakhan lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Astrakhan
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alania 2

(Home)
16 Nov
KDV Tomsk
6 : 2
Alania 2
09 Nov
Rubin Yalta
3 : 1
Alania 2
26 Oct
Alania 2
0 : 1
Angust Nazran
19 Oct
Maykop
3 : 0
Alania 2
12 Oct
Alania 2
0 : 5
Nart Cherkessk
Page 1 of 6

Astrakhan

(Away)
03 Oct
Spartak Nalchik
2 : 1
Astrakhan
26 Sept
Angust Nazran
0 : 1
Astrakhan
19 Sept
Izberbash
0 : 0
Astrakhan
12 Sept
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Astrakhan
05 Sept
Astrakhan
1 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Forte Taganrog 32 22 5 5 68:30 71
2 Rubin Yalta 32 20 4 8 48:26 64
3 Dynamo Stavropol 32 18 9 5 54:31 63
4 Legion Makhachkala 32 18 6 8 57:26 60
5 Rostov 2 32 19 3 10 57:33 60
6 FC Sevastopol 32 17 7 8 47:30 58
7 KDV Tomsk 32 13 9 10 44:34 48
8 Astrakhan 32 14 5 13 40:42 47
9 Nart Cherkessk 32 13 5 14 43:47 44
10 Maykop 32 13 3 16 41:42 42
11 Angust Nazran 32 8 14 10 22:27 38
12 Kuban Kholding 32 9 10 13 29:37 37
13 Spartak Nalchik 32 10 7 15 47:50 37
14 FK Pobeda 32 7 9 16 36:49 30
15 Biolog 32 8 6 18 41:56 30
16 Alania 2 32 4 5 23 24:87 17
17 Dynamo Makhachkala 2 32 3 5 24 19:70 14
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 (Fall Season)