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Alania 2 vs Maykop - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Datiev Z. S.
79' Event
Orazaev I.
80' Event
Kolomiytsev M.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2024 game between Alania 2 and Maykop finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Alania 2
15%
Draws
85%
Maykop
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maykop

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Alania 2 haven't matched Maykop's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Maykop a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Alania 2 Clean Sheet 17%
Maykop Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alania 2 Maykop
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 4 21
Draws 4 8
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 0.7 1.58
Goals Conceded 2.73 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Maykop vs Alania 2
3:0
Jun 18, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Alania 2 vs Maykop
2:2
May 7, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 1
Maykop vs Alania 2
1:2
Apr 1, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 1
Maykop vs Alania 2
1:0
Sep 25, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Alania 2 vs Maykop
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alania 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Datiev Z. S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chetoev T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Maykop Compare

Top Goalscorer Orazaev I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kolomiytsev M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alania 2 10 / 100
Maykop 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alania 2 Maykop

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maykop Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Alania 2 scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Maykop's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 38 matches.

Difficult form: Maykop registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Maykop
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alania 2

(Home)
16 Nov
KDV Tomsk
6 : 2
Alania 2
09 Nov
Rubin Yalta
3 : 1
Alania 2
26 Oct
Alania 2
0 : 1
Angust Nazran
19 Oct
Maykop
3 : 0
Alania 2
12 Oct
Alania 2
0 : 5
Nart Cherkessk
Page 1 of 6

Maykop

(Away)
03 Oct
Maykop
4 : 0
Izberbash
27 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
3 : 0
Maykop
19 Sept
Maykop
2 : 1
Spartak Nalchik
12 Sept
Nart Cherkessk
0 : 1
Maykop
09 Sept
Maykop
1 : 2
Yenisey
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Forte Taganrog 32 22 5 5 68:30 71
2 Rubin Yalta 32 20 4 8 48:26 64
3 Dynamo Stavropol 32 18 9 5 54:31 63
4 Legion Makhachkala 32 18 6 8 57:26 60
5 Rostov 2 32 19 3 10 57:33 60
6 FC Sevastopol 32 17 7 8 47:30 58
7 KDV Tomsk 32 13 9 10 44:34 48
8 Astrakhan 32 14 5 13 40:42 47
9 Nart Cherkessk 32 13 5 14 43:47 44
10 Maykop 32 13 3 16 41:42 42
11 Angust Nazran 32 8 14 10 22:27 38
12 Kuban Kholding 32 9 10 13 29:37 37
13 Spartak Nalchik 32 10 7 15 47:50 37
14 FK Pobeda 32 7 9 16 36:49 30
15 Biolog 32 8 6 18 41:56 30
16 Alania 2 32 4 5 23 24:87 17
17 Dynamo Makhachkala 2 32 3 5 24 19:70 14
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 (Fall Season)